10 reasons why nobody is going to be out of a job in the digital world

5 Comments

There’s a lot of chat about the dangers to employment being driven by technology — with both blue and white collar work being threatened, according to a report from the University of Oxford.

But how much of this is future hype, and how much short-term reality? Here’s 10 reasons why nobody should worry about whether they will have something to do in the years to come:

  1. Because decisions are more than insights. We may be able to get a great deal of information from analytics, but there will often be the extra level of judgement that only a human can bring. This is as true in healthcare and politics, as in customer service and situation response.
  1. Because we have hair, nails and teeth. All of which require cutting, grooming and generally maintaining. The amount of time people spend having themselves looked after is as much in proportion to their wish to be looked after, as any hygiene factor.
  1. Because we ascribe value to human interaction and care. In hospitals or day care centres, schools or gyms, or indeed, in taxis and public services, nobody, young or old, wants to be cared for by a robot. Nor will they ever.
  1. Because we love craft. Robots have been part of assembly plants for many years now, and will continue to be. But we still love hand-crafted stuff. It may be possible to 3D-print a statue, but the merit of having something hand-made will sustain.
  1. Because we value each other and the services we offer. Our capabilities are open to exploitation, it was ever thus. But the fundamental nature of a value exchange — “I will do something for you, and you will recompense me” — remains a constant.
  1. Because we are smart enough to think of new things to do. Innovation, design, new thinking comes from people, not machines. And even if computers suggest new ways of doing things, it will be people that pick the ideas up and run with them.
  1. Because complexity continues to beat computing. Even as we harvest ever larger quantities of data via sensors and cameras, through algorithms and actions, the ability of computers to make sense of it all remains behind the curve. To get ahead requires brains.
  1. Because experience and expertise counts. A plumber told me that when push-joints were invented, his father was concerned there would be no more need for plumbers — he needn’t have worried. In this complex world, domain knowledge, earned over years, will retain its value.
  1. Because we see value in the value-add. If it is possible to produce a motorbike without manual intervention, it becomes a commodity — but then, the motorbike with customised artwork becomes the must-have item.
  1. Because the new world needs new skills. A wealth of potential opportunity exists for future employment, if only we knew what it was — from drone pilots to 3D print shops, from data brokerage managers to IoT farm designers. And beyond.

The bottom line is that even as computer power increases, as we automate manual activities, we lose neither the desire, nor the propensity for work. We have evolved such that we see work as necessary: we derive satisfaction from doing it ourselves, and sharing the fruits of our labours.

Production line jobs may come to be seen as a historical aberration, the temporary consequence of industrialisation with primitive technology. And some people, who have spent their lives working in one area, may find themselves needing to work in others.

But while jobs may change, we face neither a future life of leisure, nor a world of depression and worthlessness. The final sentence of the Oxford University report states, “For workers to win the race, however, they will have to acquire creative and social skills.” Well, it just may be we already have such skills, and if only we weren’t slaves to the machine we might be able to make better use of them.

5 Comments

Monty

“Because the new world needs new skills”…Exactly. As modern technology continues to push us forward there’s no way there will be a shortage of positions in the digital world, I read articles on Huffpost and google news all the time of how the new generations are looking at internet like my generation viewed big manufacturers-its big business and its booming.

Miller

I came into the Digital industry years ago (lets not mention just how long ago it was!) Originally, I came into the industry as I knew it would only grow and my job would be secure. Now, X amount of years later, as I thought, I am working in the digital industry. still woring in Cyber Security. I loved my first day and I have loved every day since.

Kirby

I also had to write this to get it off my mind.

But how much of this is future hype, and how much short-term reality? Here’s 10 reasons why nobody should worry about whether they will have something to do in the years to come:

How many years into the future do you believe the statements below will be true?

1. Because decisions are more than insights. We may be able to get a great deal of information from analytics, but there will often be the extra level of judgement that only a human can bring. This is as true in healthcare and politics, as in customer service and situation response.

– Artificial Intelligence is in its extreme infancy today. It will not stay this way.

– Currently human beings are safe from the above statement but as Hardware and Software researchers across the globe, working in R&D labs, continue to tweak the AI algorithms needed to get the subtler nuances that we human beings currently think is only possible by us, sometime in our lifetime between 2035 and 2060 we will eventually be replaced by a more efficient AI entity or robot.

– The really scary part is in the near future when these bots start to selfheal their own software programming or start making these algorithms more efficient based on its own needs.

– In the years to come you will slowly see all of the jobs mentioned above be replaced either by robot or AI as the technology improves (Software keeping up with the hardware advances).

– It is inevitable.

– If we continue on with Moore’s law on the hardware side and as corporations continue to look for more cost efficient ways to operate. Human beings will always be in a losing battle with AI\robots

– In the future when AI is at a point where it could artificially simulate sentience (completely fool a human into thinking it is an intelligent being (Turing Test) but also have all the necessary algorithms needed to make the decisions for the professions listed above (Customer Service, Healthcare, addressing politics later). It will be much cheaper for a corporation to buy an AI bot for a set price and have it do the job 24×7 with no overhead. Sick leave, vacation days, Healthcare benefits, etc.
– The corporations that don’t follow this trend will eventually go out of business because they will not be able to compete with the corporations that do follow it.

2. Because we have hair, nails and teeth. All of which require cutting, grooming and generally maintaining. The amount of time people spend having themselves looked after is as much in proportion to their wish to be looked after, as any hygiene factor.

– Japan already has robots looking after their elderly.
– They currently can’t provide all the healthcare needs of these patients but given time robots will become as lifelike as a human and implanted with AI simulating sentience. All of the above jobs that humans currently believe only we can do will be gone.

3. Because we ascribe value to human interaction and care. In hospitals or day care centers, schools or gyms, or indeed, in taxis and public services, nobody, young or old, wants to be cared for by a robot. Nor will they ever.

– Old Age Care: We currently do not have enough Health care workers to service all of the baby boomers that are now getting to the age where they require old age assistance.
– I don’t think we will have the luxury of choosing which type of care we get from a human or a robot. Most of these people will be glad to have any kind of assistance.
– Day Care: Initially it will depend on the financial status of the individual. The rich will probably have human daycare providers and the poor will probably rely on the later.
– Hospitals: The tech industry is currently working on all kinds of devices that will be able to do self-diagnoses for common issues and these devices will only get smarter in the future.
– Operations: Anyone requiring the need for an operation. The tech industry is also creating many different forms of assisted operating environments
– It is only a matter of time before all of these procedures are captured in AI algorithms. An example of surgical system currently in use is listed below.

2. The da Vinci® Surgical System enables surgeons to perform delicate and complex operations through a few small incisions. The da Vinci System consists of several key components, including: an ergonomically designed console where the surgeon sits while operating, a patient-side cart where the patient is positioned during surgery, interactive robotic arms, a 3D HD vision system, and proprietary EndoWrist®

– Schools and gyms: The internet has all of the curriculum from Grade 1 all the way up to University courses. (Self teaching at home)

– Taxis: Many Corporations are currently looking into self-driving vehicles and it is considered by many CEO’s of these Corporations that are working on these challenges that it will be mainstream in 3 to 5 years. (Tesla, GM, Audi)
– Taxi drivers will be the first people out of a job. You will hail a vehicle through Uber or Lyft on your smartphone and it will show up at your door without a driver.

4. Because we love craft. Robots have been part of assembly plants for many years now, and will continue to be. But we still love hand-crafted stuff. It may be possible to 3D-print a statue, but the merit of having something hand-made will sustain.

– I agree with this statement

5. Because we value each other and the services we offer. Our capabilities are open to exploitation, it was ever thus. But the fundamental nature of a value exchange — “I will do something for you, and you will recompense me” — remains a constant.

– It only remains a constant in our current society.
– Once AI and robots start replacing us. Our society as it is currently structured will start to collapse.
– The total collapse will probably happen long before AI and robots take over all of our jobs.
– Most people on the earth will no longer be able to earn a living.
– Only the ones intelligent enough to keep progress on AI and robots advancing.
– The larger corporations will be funding these individuals to keep these advancements moving forward.
– We as human beings will have to restructure society to be able to live in this new world.
– It will no longer be based on money. The financial system will have collapsed at this time. The only people that would be making money. If money had any value at this time are the CEO’s and the owners. Everyone else will have nothing.

6. Because we are smart enough to think of new things to do. Innovation, design, new thinking comes from people, not machines. And even if computers suggest new ways of doing things, it will be people that pick the ideas up and run with them.

– New ideas created by human beings aside from financial gain are usually created out of need, necessity or curiosity. It is foolish to think that these cannot be a part of an AI’s algorithms.
– The problem is that an AI’s needs will be totally different then a Human being.

– And it will be an AI entity telling robots to pick these ideas up and run with them.

7. Because complexity continues to beat computing. Even as we harvest ever larger quantities of data via sensors and cameras, through algorithms and actions, the ability of computers to make sense of it all remains behind the curve. To get ahead requires brains.

– Again this is very short sited to believe that an AI of the future could not only have the ability to make sense of large data but will probably be exponentially more efficient at it then humans.

8. Because experience and expertise counts. A plumber told me that when push-joints were invented, his father was concerned there would be no more need for plumbers — he needn’t have worried. In this complex world, domain knowledge, earned over years, will retain its value.

– All of that domain knowledge will also exist on the internet which AIs have full access to and will be able to dispatch a robot to fix this issue.
– In the future with IOT most of these structures will be monitored for proper working order and effiency. Alerts will be sent before the structure even breaks using Manufacturers statistics on these structures (MTF Mean time to failure)
9. Because we see value in the value-add. If it is possible to produce a motorbike without manual intervention, it becomes a commodity — but then, the motorbike with customized artwork becomes the must-have item.

– I agree with this statement
– Although a future AI entity could probably also produce similar artwork if programmed with the necessary algorithms.

10. Because the new world needs new skills. A wealth of potential opportunity exists for future employment, if only we knew what it was — from drone pilots to 3D print shops, from data brokerage managers to IoT farm designers. And beyond.

– Human beings create these new skills based on need or necessity.
– In the new world of the future that we are headed for. We will be handing the reigns over to the AI entity to decide what these new skills will be.

The bottom line is that even as computer power increases, as we automate manual activities, we lose neither the desire, nor the propensity for work. We have evolved such that we see work as necessary: we derive satisfaction from doing it ourselves, and sharing the fruits of our labors.

– I agree with the above statement and that is why we are on a course to eventually automate ourselves out of every job that we currently enjoy doing or with some people do to survive in today’s society.

Production line jobs may come to be seen as a historical aberration, the temporary consequence of industrialisation with primitive technology. And some people, who have spent their lives working in one area, may find themselves needing to work in others.

– In a perfect world all of these people that work these mind numbing jobs and are being replaced by AI\robots would just magically move to some other job and be paid similar amounts of money but the reality is that for most of them it might be too late to educate themselves in an entirely different field. There are many reasons why these people will not find a new path. (Age (already close to retirement), intelligence (all people are not created equal in this department), laziness (some people might just give up and go on welfare), etc.

– All of the reasons that are listed above are why corporations will eventually replace us with AI\robots. AI entities\robots will never retire (the AI could be upgraded for efficiency but never retire and it will probably improve on its on processes no need for human intervention). Each AI entity \ robot will be equal in “intelligence” for the specific duty it is performing. An AI entity\robot will continue to do the job function for the entire life cycle of that function with no coffee breaks\sick leave\vacation days.

In The Future

– When the AI entity or entities become artificially sentient. Humans will have much bigger problems on their hands than worry about having a job. Although any jobs that humans may have had will long be gone before this occurs. The collapse of society will probably happen before the singularity occurs.

But while jobs may change, we face neither a future life of leisure, nor a world of depression and worthlessness. The final sentence of the Oxford University report states, “For workers to win the race, however, they will have to acquire creative and social skills.” Well, it just may be we already have such skills, and if only we weren’t slaves to the machine we might be able to make better use of them.

– Unless a global catastrophe occurs and sends us all back to the stone ages. It is only a matter of time before all jobs performed by Human Beings are replaced by AI\robots. It is very naïve to think that it will not happen. It is not a matter of if it will happen it is more a matter of when it will happen.

Jay

Robotics and technology is an extension of humans just as the spider Web is an extension of the spider and the hive that of bees.
This article is completely written under the skin bag bias and through the lens of scarcity and not considering that it’s not a matter of robots replacing us or not, but instead how they will extend our reach. We are the robots and they are us.
Our paradigm of value exchange (currently money) will radically change in the near future and with it, the notion of a job will too. We as humans will all continue to create value and be a conduit of what’s possible, connecting new layers of complexty – but at a much deeper level.

A lot of people will lose their jobs for a short period as our current paradigm has conditioned our minds such as to expect to be only capable of one primary marketable skillset and when replaced, those of that mindset will find it very impossible to earn a living. Soonafter though, it will be irrelevant and the poorest people of the future will be 100x as rich as the richest of today, due to automation of the basic needs and the ability to transport into any reality and create anything wanted at will.
And then – we transcend.

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