Is the PC going extinct?

11 Comments

New numbers tell a dark story for PC manufacturers, except perhaps Apple. New Gartner stats are unequivocal: worldwide sales are down 8.3%.

gartner_pc_shipments_q4_2015

Source: Gartner

Apple is the only brand bucking the tide, with growth of 2.8% and market share of 6.7% at this point.

The economic downdraft is likely having a large impact, and even Microsoft’s Windows 10 might not be able to counter that trend.

The elephant in the room is tablets: are they now at the point where they can replace PCs, even for the most hardbitten PC users? I know that I am not ready to make the shift, although I do travel with an iPad, and use it frequently. I’ll have to take another look at the new iPad Pro and the Surface Pro 4, because that’s where we are all heading.

11 Comments

Attila

Making the common mistake of mixng sales figures with PC usage figures. Just because priple do not *buy* new stuff, tuey do not necessarily abandon the technology. In fact, this means little more than that the market is saturated, people who wanted a PC, already have one. And you don’t really buy a PC for two years, as you would a smarthone, I’ve been usong the same setup for 7 years. It was high-end back then and still cutting it.

Which brings us to the next “problem”: PC manufacturers don’t push out as big hardware updates every year, as say handheld makers do. A new PC does not offer so much more than say a 4yrs old set that you feel the “need” to buy another. Apart from gamers and probably those who edit HD movies, all your needs eill be catered for by an older machine.

tl;dr; No, the drop in sales is only a sign of a saturated market, you should not believe all thy hype you read on the internet.

Akshat Verma

I tell you PCs are not going anywhere. Yes there sales have declined due to the boom of smartphones and tablets but people will ultimately get fed up with them because they cannot match PCs power and work comfort.

Forb

There will always be a group of professionals and gamers who use PCs. It might get smaller, but it will eventually reach a certain point where it will no longer decrease.

kunal

The sale drop isn’t what was expected. I personally expected it to drop too much. The reason is obvious, people are moving towards smartphones and tablet. As far as my knowledge is concerned, even tablet sales are dropping down. People want everything that they can carry in their bare hands, without needing to use their other hand. The world is becoming lazy each passing day !
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Outbreak

I don’t think that PC’s will ever be extinct. Professional users will always use them. Tablets and other gadgets will always be weaker than a full PC.

Mark

No. But it will decline as people realize they did not need desktop/laptop at home. And for some, even at work. There are those jobs and industries that will need them. That being said, if I can use “remote desktop” and hook a keyboard/mouse/large screen to a “tablet”, then i don’t need a pc/laptop most of the time – and i do software dev.

H.E.A.T.

For me, reluctance to upgrade to a new PC has more to do with buyer’s remorse than anything else. The larger keyboard and monitor will always have a place as more older people are hanging around on Earth longer.

No. As soon as you buy a PC, even if it’s the most premium of models, there is either a newer one within a month or a new operating system requiring an upgrade. People just don’t have that kind of money these days. or the time to waste chasing the latest and greatest.

As technophiles, computer users always want the latest model of any technology. Even with mobile and tablets, people still enjoy sitting down in a chair, sitting upright, and enjoying the power that the desktop offers.

PC prices need to come down, of course. Most high-brand PCs aren’t even worth the price asked for by the companies with diversified products (mobile and tablets).

Some people are simply waiting (holding on to their money) to see if something new is over the horizon before upgrading. We have the money; we just don’t want to waste it on an upgrade made obsolete within a month by a newer model or newer operating system.

The industry is basically shooting itself in the foot with regards to PCs because of the lack of coordination between the PC makers, OS makers, and the browser vendors. Additionally, a lot of the prices being asked for PCs simply do not make any sense these days.

Trickling down technology and gouging customers in hard times is no longer working.

Data Guy

I don’t think the PC is going extinct, or that tablets will replace PCs in any significant way. This is a common interpretation of sales data, but I think it’s the wrong read. i DO think that people aren’t replacing PCs and tablets frequently because we passed a threshold years ago in which the machines became fast enough that they’re faster than the needs of the average user. If people already have more computer than they can use, the incentive to replace them is lowered.

arararar

try to think about the speed of using photoshop or cad software with a full interface on a tablet.
You’ll see PCs are not going anywhere for a long time.

Even if it’s a tablet hooked up to a keyboard and mouse, it’s still a PC.

The market is shrinking, no doubt about it, especially for laptops used as second computer, content consumption and note taking has moved to tablets for many users, so in the future there may be max one PC per family in low-tech families, but that’s it.

Jatheon

PC will never extinct! Can tablet, or whatever, completely replace PC? Of course it can’t. So, I think this is ridiculous what they say.

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