Microsoft will unveil the first major Windows update under new CEO Satya Nadella on Wednesday. Obviously, it’s a big day for the Redmond-based giant as well as for any Windows user who wants to know what to expect from her PC in the future.
Microsoft’s stock is at a near 15-year high. Nadella has refocused the company on services and made many of Microsoft’s key properties — including Office — truly cross-platform. The PC industry has also had a few good quarters recently, with sales slowing less than expected.
But although Windows is most closely associated with the PC, Microsoft’s biggest challenge is in the mobile space. Last year, Microsoft bought Nokia for over $7 billion hoping to ride closer integration of hardware and software to a bigger share of the mobile market, but Windows Phone still lags far behind both Android and iOS in terms of the number of devices in consumer hands. Microsoft will look to Windows 10 to turn that around.
Here’s everything we think we know Microsoft has up its sleeve. I’ll be live-blogging the event along with Kevin Tofel on Gigaom at 9AM PT on Wednesday.
A Windows 10 preview for consumersexpected
Thanks to a few leaked Technical Previews, which are intended for Microsoft “experts,” we have an idea what to expect from the latest Microsoft desktop operating system.
First, there’s going to be a big emphasis on Cortana, Microsoft’s voice assistant, which has continued to improve since its launch in 2014. It started out on Windows Phone, but it’s almost certain that Microsoft wants to bring the Google Now and Apple Siri hybrid to the desktop.
Microsoft may also be planning to introduce a new Xbox app, which would function as a gateway to the entire Xbox ecosystem.=That means that gamers could see and configure their achievements, friend lists, and activity feeds from their desktop computer. The big question is how the Xbox app will handle games: Will you be able to download games on the Xbox app that you can play on your laptop?
Another possible big feature is called Continuum, which allows users to pick up what they were doing as they switch between PC, tablet, and phone, specifically geared for 2-in-1 devices. It sounds similar to Apple’s Handoff feature or Nextbit’s projects on Android phones (which use the cloud). But we’ll have to wait to see what kind of backend Microsoft is using to provide the feature.
Of course, long-time Windows users are loyal to the Start menu. And, according to leaked screenshots, “Start” is making a comeback of sorts.
A version of Windows for smartphones, tablets, and mobile devices in general
Most attention at the Windows event will probably be on Microsoft’s mobile platform, which is expected to be a new version of Windows without a desktop interface that combines Windows RT and Windows Phone and works on both Intel and ARM processors.
Unlike Windows 10 for the desktop, Microsoft hasn’t released a preview for its upcoming mobile operating system yet. Rumor has it that Spartan will include both a light and dark theme, and will integrate more fully with Xbox and Windows on the desktop.
Which version of Windows will small tablets run? To this point, Windows Phone hasn’t been installed on a Wi-Fi only tablet. Will Microsoft encourage device makers to use the new mobile operating system on inexpensive tablets, or will some of them continue to run full Windows like a few tablets that came out last year?
Microsoft has been experimenting with changing the way it licenses Windows, especially to other businesses. In December, Microsoft COO Kevin Turner said that Microsoft needed to “monetize” Windows differently. Windows 10 could mark a key shift in Microsoft’s decades-old business model.
Some hardware makers who wanted to try out Windows Phone or Windows RT on devices under 8-inches haven’t had to pay the licensing fees recently. With subscriptions to services like Office 365 hopefully growing under Nadella’s watch, it’s not hard to imagine heavily-subsidized hardware largely paid for through subscriptions, especially for enterprise customers.
The beginning of the end for Internet Explorerunlikely
But the browser, reportedly codenamed “Spartan,” will be a major change from Microsoft’s previous browser efforts. It reportedly will have versions not only PCs, tablets and phones. It could be updated through the Windows Store and will deeply support “digital inking” — like what the stylus on the Surface Pro uses — as well as integrate Cortana. Given Microsoft’s new cross-platform approach, it wouldn’t even be a surprise to see the new Spartan browser ported to non-Windows operating systems.
What will it be called? It’s likely to adopt a new name — perhaps not Spartan — for a few reasons. First, it would allow Microsoft to shake the perception that Internet Explorer is a standards non-compliant pain in the neck, even though the browser has improved significantly from its IE6 days.
But the simplest reason for the new browser having a new name is that a version of Internet Explorer will likely continue to exist, pre-installed on Windows devices, if only for “legacy reasons.” After all, there are many enterprise clients that would like to keep their browsers consistent.
The convergence of the app stores
A new report says that Microsoft has been working on a platform which allows developers to easily configure a Windows app to run well on phones, tablets, and PCs all with different screen sizes. According to The Information, 90 percent of code may be able to be re-used when adapting a desktop Windows app to mobile.
Furthermore, these apps that run across both PCs and phones could be available from a single, unified app store. If Microsoft were to make this move, it would a strong play to attract app developers away from iOS and Android and back onto Windows.
Using its position on desktop PCs to bridge the “app gap” was one of the key reasons Microsoft allowed Windows 8 PCs to run Windows RT apps, although that didn’t work out quite as planned. Consolidating all the app stores into one could be a sea change for Microsoft’s mobile hopes and the moment that hot new app teams realize they have to develop for Windows, too.
Although Microsoft says that most of the must-have apps are available for Windows Phone, its clear that there are certainly some big-name apps and services that don’t have official versions on the Windows Store, and it’s a problem. Notable absences include: Lyft, Uber, HBO Go, Snapchat, RunKeeper, Tinder, GitHub, most Google services including Maps and Gmail, and most new and buzzy games.
Could Cortana eat Bing?
Cortana, Microsoft’s voice assistant, is likely to be a big focus at the consumer preview. Some reports have indicated that Cortana will be able to be used through a browser tab in the new Microsoft browser. Apple’s Siri can’t do that, but Google’s various voice powers can be used in Chrome.
One possible leaked screenshot shows Cortana integrated into the address bar of a Spartan tab.
But one of the most interesting possibilities headed into the Windows 10 unveiling is that the Cortana brand could end up substituting for Bing as the default search software in many places in the new Windows. It’s a similar situation to Internet Explorer — although Bing is a mature product, it’s still perceived as an also-ran to Google Search. Cortana uses cool voice capabilities and can do more than simply search the web through Bing. It can also dig through your calendar, for instance. Microsoft might have an easier time re-training Google users to do a Cortana search as opposed to a Bing search.
Cortana will also be baked into the Windows 10, not just the browser. Leaked screenshots and video from Winbeta show a pre-release version of Cortana retaining her old voice on a desktop computer with much of the same features found on Windows Phone — adding reminder, calling people with Skype, and launching apps.
The integration of Xbox and Windows Store
Microsoft’s third biggest property after Office and Windows is Xbox, which is notable as Microsoft’s only major product aimed almost exclusively at consumers (as opposed to Office and Windows, which are largely sold directly to other businesses.)
Microsoft has been developing a music and a video store under its Xbox brand. Merging Xbox Music and Xbox Video into the Windows Store could give Microsoft a full lineup of multimedia content more like Apple’s iTunes Store or Google Play.
The Xbox SmartGlass app could also be in line for a surprise update. Launched alongside Windows 8 in 2012, it’s been essentially a high-powered remote app for the Xbox console — albeit one that can stream live television content to mobile devices. But Microsoft has always considered SmartGlass as a software service to tap into Xbox content, so the app might have a new role as a bridge between Windows 10, the Xbox One, and devices not running Windows.
So when can I try out the new Windows?
Microsoft said in 2014 that users can expect a Windows 10 “launch wave” in mid-2015. I think it’s more likely to have its big launch in the early fall or late summer. But users will have a chance to try out the new Windows bits perhaps as soon as Wednesday.
A new app called Phone Insider published by Microsoft on the Windows Phone Store might be the way that Microsoft distributes its Windows 10 mobile preview. So far the app can only be installed by Microsoft employees.
With Windows 8, Microsoft released its desktop consumer preview to anyone interested in trying it out. Expect Redmond to do the same thing with the Windows 10 Consumer Preview.