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Sebastian Stadil has been managing cloud environments for years as the creator of the Scalr project and founder of the startup he built to commercialize it. It’s his business to know how the various public clouds work, and to understand how Scalr’s customer are using them. He came on the Structure Show podcast this week to share what he’s been seeing and how he thinks it bodes for the future of cloud computing.
It’s an interesting interview that touches on just about every cloud around, including Rackspace, IBM Softlayer and Google, and is heavy on speculation about how the OpenStack ecosystem will unfold. Here are four quick highlights, but anyone interested in hearing Stadil’s insights on usage trends and prediction should listen to the whole thing.
On Amazon Web Services’ move into IT management tooling
“Having worked with Amazon for the past seven years or so, I’ve kind of gotten to the conclusion that Amazon’s just in the business of solving customer problems,” Stadil said. “And when it detects it’s IT that’s the problem, then they’re going to build tools to replace IT. When they detect that it’s something else, then they’re going to build that something else.”
On Oracle’s seemingly incomplete cloud
Stadil said he was experimenting and investigating Oracle’s cloud documentation and everything — storage, messaging, database — was looking pretty good. Until this happened: “Then I dug a little deeper and I found there’s actually nothing around compute. … Which basically means there’s no way I canget a virtual machine from Oracle.”
Windows Azure: Good tech, on an island
“Azure is going to be loved by developers the same way [Internet Explorer] is,” Stadil explained, in reference to the Microsoft’s tendency to use different terminology and standards than other software companies. “… I just see a lot of pain working with the APIs, and I think that’s what’s holding back Azure’s growth.”
OpenStack is still a zoo
“I would love for it to be boring, but right now it’s more like a rocket science project,” Stadil said in response to question about claims that OpenStack has gotten boring because it’s now so mature.
He continued, discussing how current open source technologies came to be because vendors tried commoditizing everything else in order to convince buyers to spend money on their particular part of the application stack:
“It’s kind of interesting to see how that might be playing out again, where all these vendors are pouring tons of dollars into OpenStack, now it seems like they’re doing the same thing to the Docker ecosystem. … The LAMP stack was largely a monolithic application stack and that became open source, it will be interesting to see how a new open source stack emerges specifically for distributed internet-scale applications. …
“I’m pretty sure that at the end of the day, we’re going to end up with an open stack that nobody has to pay for and all the vendors will have not made that much money on it.”