Apple TV: the rumor that won’t die

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Here we go again.

According to Barron’s, Jefferies & Co. analyst James Kisner believes the launch of an Apple television is imminent:

“Our discussions with industry contacts suggest that at least one major N. American MSO is working to estimate how much additional capacity may be needed for a new Apple device on their broadband data network. We believe this potentially suggests an imminent launch of the Apple TV.”

It goes without saying that Apple TV believers are a passionate bunch, and it’s usually the leader of the movement, Gene Munster, who can be relied on as the source of these rumors. Now, the very fact that another analyst has gotten into the Apple television rumor-creation industry could mean there is something to this speculation, but  I’m still skeptical.

MSOs always do capacity planning, and it’s no secret the biggest demand driver for bandwidth today is video delivered over the top. But simply imagining all potential scenarios — and an Apple product is one of those scenarios any good capacity planner would have to factor in — doesn’t mean a product is imminent.

Obviously I wasn’t in on those conversations, and it may be that the MSO executive has had high-level conversations with Arris or even Apple. But I seriously doubt it.

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