Buckle up: Traditional TV is in for a heck of a ride

31 Comments

The first wave of commercialization on the Internet had a tremendous impact on our lives and has disrupted most — if not all — industry value chains. The print industry was in the eye of the storm, with decline in readers and advertising budgets forcing many major magazines and newspapers to shut down, while the survivors continue to scramble to deal with the disruption. The primary reasons for the debacle of the print industry were:

  • High fixed cost structures left incumbents unable to match the niche segmentation requirement and accountability benefits of online advertising
  • Professional publishers denied consumers’ appetite for short form and user-generated content
  • High debt loads on the legacy businesses created an inability to cannibalize core revenues

Content was still in demand, of course, but consumers were increasingly turning to blogs and websites for access to on-demand, personalized information. Soon websites from iVillage, WebMD and CNET to the Huffington Post became household names, not to mention lucrative business models and attractive acquisition targets for the likes of AOL.

But print media is only one example of the inevitable generational shift that is unfolding in the way we consume content. It is more than a trend; it is a fundamental change in consumer behavior that will impact businesses across all industries. The next frontier is TV. But will the disruption in the TV world be similar or different than the downslide of print media?

2010 Forrester study showed that for the first time, Americans now spend as much time on the Internet as they do in front of the TV. Is it inevitable that like print media, consumers will turn to the Internet for their TV and video content and eventually drain the profits from TV’s ad-driven business model? According to Pew’s annual State of the Media report, local TV news is still the No. 1 news source for the majority of people, and it still leads in revenues. The Web came in second. While safe for now, the TV industry is on high alert, dragging its feet, but substantially better prepared to protect its turf than its print brethren were.

It is now widely accepted by the major industry stakeholders, content owners, MSOs, CE manufacturers and new startups that the following trends are unavoidable:

  • Consumers will demand linear and on demand, short-form and user generated videos, to be viewed anytime, anywhere and on multiple devices. I believe that companies that build models to meet that demand will win. Those that deny it will go on life support.
  • TV rooms in homes will have multiple screens running simultaneously, presenting a much better form factor to interface with the TV set than the traditional remote control. Most new TV-viewing devices will be Internet connected in 10 years.
  • A substantial percentage of programming will have on demand, time shifted and interactive capabilities. New formats of programming with embedded interactive applications will emerge, and social TV will take off.
  • Advertising will be targeted and personalized, at the individual and household levels, using legacy data from the settop box as well as ongoing rich data being generated every day, unless regulators step in to over restrict that. Smart marketers are already challenging the convention of TV time buying by demanding the same accountability that they are getting in their online buys.

This is going to be a much tougher fight than the last round of disruption, and here’s why:

  • The stakes are enormous. Both in capitalizing on new opportunities (e.g., building high margin, recurring service revenues for the CE manufacturers), as well as protecting legacy lucrative revenues (e.g., CATV subscriptions).
  • Content owners are positioned to benefit. The distribution fight emerging between the MSOs, IPTV service providers and over-the-top newcomers is poised to benefit content owners. While they might facilitate the newcomers’ emergence, make no mistake, they will ultimately require payment for viewing their content. The more competition emerges among the distributors of content, the better the programmers’ negotiating position will be. They also stand to potentially build direct relationships with consumers through the interactive programming features. This will strengthen their position even further, particularly as they start generating direct billing (e.g., the iTunes model). While quality content will continue to be king, its owners are nevertheless worried about piracy and the loss of viewing time to free content. Content owners with the most to lose, however, are those with low ratings and viewers today, heavily relying on the sacred “bundling” distribution structure of the CATV industry. On-demand viewing will severely challenge the bundling model.
  • MSOs are frienemies. The MSOs are everyone’s “friend wannabe” and simultaneously “enemy No. 1.” Today, they hold the key to the house through the coax cable. In addition, they have many weapons in storage, including the historical viewing habits data, the connectivity business that will continue to thrive as the over-the-top vendors grow, and most importantly, the substantial checks they send to the programmers every month. But whereby the old print industry went on the defensive of their legacy business in the 90s, and ultimately lost to consumer preferences, the MSOs are pursuing a dual strategy of protecting their turf while simultaneously aggressively pursuing new opportunities such as buying and owning traditional content (Comcast-NBC) as well as emerging interactive content (Comcast-Daily Candy), using set-top data for targetable advertising, and promoting TV everywhere with tiered pricing. In other words, they are hedging their bets across the board in the event their tight grip is loosened.
  • TV Manufacturers See Opportunity with Embedded Software. TV manufacturers have been fighting low margin business models for decades and finally see an opportunity to build recurring, more profitable business models by bundling Internet services onto the devices. But if the PC industry provides any guidance, one can conclude that this strategy will be very tough to pull off unless they actually decide to own and operate the content and service companies. Contrary to the MSOs, this will be a fundamental culture shock for the CE industry.
  • New Entrants Ignition for the Entire Disruption. These new entrants range from companies (i.) providing the physical bridge between the Internet and the TV set to (ii.) those providing navigation portals, (iii.) to those offering overlay services to enable interactivity, consumption and payment, and  (iv.) to those who will own and provide the content. These include tech giants as well as startups that VCs like me are looking to back. The TV industry is historically known for having an extremely high barrier to entry, but tech giants including Google, Apple and Netflix have positioned themselves to pose real threats to industry incumbents. Netflix, once an unknown upstart, successfully displaced well-known players such as Blockbuster in an already crowded and established market. The company launched in a downturn economy, stayed dormant for some time and then transformed into one of the emerging on-demand media giants. It is a fixture in the mail, online and through mobile channels. Netflix now has as many subscribers in the U.S. as Comcast does.

The question is not if a market disruption is looming. It is. The question is who will lead the charge and end up on top? Will the MSOs be able to innovate and keep consumers tuning in on their terms? Will the digital media houses continue successfully on their transition into the market? Or will smaller players find a way to fill the gap and create the next generation dynasty?

My bet is on companies that will embrace rather than fight the trends, control at least one end of the value chain (content or consumer interface) and build sticky or proprietary assets such as viewing data and recommendation engines, billing or storage of personal content. Only time will tell, but one thing is for sure, we’ll all be tuning in (on multiple devices) to find out.

Habib Kairouz is a managing partner of Rho Capital Partners and Rho Ventures as well as a member of the Investment Committees of Rho Canada and Rho Fund Investors.

Image courtesy of Flickr user -Kj.

31 Comments

CarlK

This seems to be a very intelligent crowd dwelling here, so I hope you don’t take offense in the comments I will offer.

If traditional Americans are ever to gain control of their destinies again, nothing is more important than the destruction of those dumb them down t.v. media boxes with content bundled garbage, and media owned and controlled messages mostly stealing from your lives.

One quick case in point is the lack of mass media coverage taking place during the past week’s “Occupation Wall Street” demonstrations that have been ongoing.

http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/221382/20110928/occupy-wall-street-protest.htm

Best thing for all Americans, will continue to come from a free and open internet, however. Get rid of those walled gardens ASAP! They need an empowering internet where they can use their time to search, discover, entertain, create and educate themselves according to their own individual dreams which provides them with the liberty their founding fathers may have truly believed had once existed.

I see some mention of the MSO’s here, or the Big Bad Cable companies, and they are bad!

Some of the really smart ones here know that their days are numbered because, it’s true that the PIPES for bringing our eyes around the globe ubiquitously via the internet–ALL IP– were capitalized more than ten years ago, even while the DUOPOLISTS inside the last mile including telecom and cable have attempted to kill it or slow it down each and every part of the way.

Truth be known, the cables are only able to bring you to the internet because of one of the carriers who spent billions in capital to bring them there. That carrier, Level 3 Communications(LVLT), by proxy is your cable company who had, and does “lease” fiber capacity from them today with “leases” running out in less than ten years. Much of their digital voice services–Voip–including all of the bells and whistles plus E911 are Level 3 Enabled.

Level 3 and Comcast you should know, are still working out their dispute of Comcast expecting to create a toll booth in order to block Netflix’s over the top video from reaching their end users who are craving it. Level 3 can deliver the content more cheaply, and deeper inside Comcast’s network territories because it owns their network, or can build interconnections to the necessary points and not add superfluous expense to third party customers like Netflix, or consumers who will ultimately be gouged by Comcast in the end.

Wall Street courtesy of their greedy omnipotence, on the other hand, recently asked Level 3 why they won’t simply add the costs Comcast is dictating, a “just because we can” dictum, to their customers and move on! Level 3 refuses to act improperly, economically speaking, and is appealing to the FCC for assistance in developing the right “economic paradigm” for weighing bit traffic, i.e., freight long into the future so the internet’s sustainability is better served, while customers’ long term needs are met.

Thanks for your valuable time, and the great article spearheaded by the author!

Bes

Traditional players in TV and Old Media are tone deaf to the desires of consumers, particularly women consumers. That is their corporate culture. New players in media are also male dominated and therefore initially equally as inadequate at providing entertainment and a view of the world that appeals to female consumers, but new media adapt quicker to their failures they don’t just do the same tone deaf behaviors of failure over and over and over. Old Media will die when they can no longer keep the new comers from bringing product to market because they have a corporate culture of not caring what the consumer wants, they don’t care because they haven’t had too, they are a monopoly. Don’t bet on any old companies, they will not change their corporate culture and they can’t succeed unless they do. 52% of the population is female.

Bes

Well don’t forget that as soon as bundling is ended women consumers will no longer be subsidizing “men’s content” and they will also not be purchasing the viewerless schlock that Corporate Media labels “women’s content”. What will corporate Media have to sell women consumers? Very, very, little. And they have been so extreme at keeping authentic women’s voices out of the market that there isn’t even a true “women’s content” provider for Corporate Media to buy up. Remember the only financially relevant definition of “women’s content” is content women will pay to consume, men’s opinion of such content is irrelevant. So how will men’s sports content adapt to the loss of fees which are now extorted from women consumers? Of course we know the schlock now marketed as “women’s content” will die a quick death.

Matt

If you are really intent on investing in the next generation of whatever TV will become, I recommend you first change the way you “listen” to the market. Your arguments, and most comments here, sound like marketing smoke and mirror — a lot of big words with little meaning to back them up. Faced with an industry clearly threatened, who speaks as prophet? Should we really listen to the “thinkers” that MSOs employ? Why does everybody believe the guy sitting in the middle of the sinking ship is the best positioned to explain what caused the leak and how to prevent it? The future isn’t a “tweak” of the present, it can’t. The future must be a new start. And the only way you’ll get it right is by listening to the people who will pay for it.

I’m no expert, and I wouldn’t even recommend asking *me*, but if your plan is to beat this thing by helping build the future, start by asking the *consumers* what they want. The consumers are the people who will pay for it: the parents, the people with jobs, the people with income to spend on it. You can’t beat piracy simply because the first and foremost reason people pirate things is because they can’t afford it. Why is the industry trying so hard to fight piracy and free content? Do you really think you can get those people to pay for that content instead?

You can’t win over the 16 year old without a job, no matter what you do. Your best bet is to provide an attractive product that someone with expandable income will want to invest in (instead of pissing him off so much that he resorts to piracy). As a real consumer, I can tell you for a fact that what I want isn’t a bunch of videos of teenagers kicking each other in the nuts. Yet, somehow, that’s the number 1 trend. *sigh*

Edward Terry

Lots of cud to chew on …

In terms of traditional TV, I don’t think the content producer has anything to worry about (aside from the usual piracy issues), but the MSOs (networks/channels) need to embrace the “new” delivery channel that is the Internet in order to provide content in a manner that the viewer wishes.

I still prefer to watch television shows on a television set, but I almost never actually watch live TV. I watch almost all shows via catch-up TV which is streamed on-demand via the channel that owns the content. The new BBC iPlayer is an excellent example of how this works well (find a show, bookmark it, and subsequent episodes drop into your favourites list automatically).

There was a brief time when I tried to watch some shows when they aired so that I could join the live (online) debate about the issues and topics contained in the show. However, this is not practical and makes web-based social interaction harder because I am probably in a minority watching the show at 3am on-demand, instead of the 3.2m viewers who watched it live-to-air.

I have no doubt that the TV companies, the networks, the studios, the MSOs, etc, will sort out the delivery options so we can access the shows anytime, anywhere, without affecting their revenues adversely (overall) but I think that the social aspect of on-demand TV is going to be an interesting thing to watch play out so that viewers can both fully engage and be engaged as a result of the time shift in their viewing options.

truthspew

And of course you have the outlaws like me. The ones who know how to use netstat and who blot out every god damned ad site out there. I do it both in the browse and at the router level. I’m PAYING for the connection, how dare you suck up my bandwidth to throw ads at me.

bunny

As a content creator, I pay a lot to create content. I pay, or a distribution company pays for hosting and server bandwidth.

You pay a pittance for the 500MB of bandwidth to download the show. I don’t believe you have any moral ground for outrage if you want to download the content for free then refuse to allow advertising, which is our only opportunity for revenue.

If there are too many of you, product placement and permanent video advertising within the content will be necessary for me to add. I need to recoup the costs of creating and delivering the content to you. A profit would be nice as well. I do not expect you to pay me for watching the content, but advertisers who pay me get upset when they get no return on their investment.

I agree that users should not accept intrusive advertising, advertising that uses too much data quota (especially on mobile devices/plans), and I even do not believe that a 30 second advert in front of a YouTube video that is 30 seconds long is a fair trade off.

There is, however, a happy middle ground where you win, and I win. That middle ground will not be found if you (and enough people like you) block all advertising. You will have the upper hand, until people like me block content scrapers like yourself from downloading, or loading our content with intrusive advertising that can not be separated from the content. Then we will have the upper hand, and we will not be reversing our positions once we have draconian systems in place.

Jeff

I don’t mind some advertising.. But, CATV has become so bad I can’t stand to watch. If my wife did not watch so much TV I would have cancelled the service long ago. I mean, it is just over the top now days… Commericals have run me off.

Bija

I hate watching traditional TV from cable because of all the advertisements and the junk they now scatter across the screen as often as they want. It ruins it for me. I realized that I can rent or buy HD episodes from Amazon or iTunes. The HD quality is about as good as BluRay. There are no commercials or network logos and I don’t have to wait for the whole thing to come out on BluRay. The cost is about the same as buying a whole season on BluRay. If you wait until the TV show has been shown entirely, you can buy a whole season. This may sound expensive, but if you are used to paying about $100 or more a month for cable and you stop getting cable, it isn’t bad. You can still find lots of free stuff online or rent or borrow DVDs.

Mike E.

Mix in a good OTA antenna and you’ve got quite the setup. Critics deride it as a “dog’s breakfast,” but it’s the savvy way to go.

Scott Jensen

Another reason for the debacle of print is that it was too slow in getting information out. The idea of waiting a week to read a “news” magazine is laughable now. Waiting merely 24 hours is now a joke as well.

[As for Jonatha’s rude remark, what rock have you been living under? Newspapers are dying out. The Internet took away their biggest source of revenue (classifed ads … i.e., Craig’s List). Their readership is all gray and literally dying off. And it is only a matter of time before environmentalists start attacking them for being a waste of trees and start burning newspaper dispensers in the middle of the night and boycotting/protesting against businesses that advertise in them.]

There will ALWAYS be group viewing events. They’re called sports. They can easily make the transition to online TV because they can have commercial breaks since they’re live events. But here’s the kicker: sports team owners don’t need middlemen to do online TV. Sports team owners can distribute their games directly to viewers. Once sports team owners realize they can cut out the middleman (broadcast and cable TV networks), that will be the day online TV really takes off. The sports team owners can stream their games live, sell ads, and produce the whole thing themselves. It only takes the NFL, NBA, or MLB to realize this for them to do the shift. Each league pooling their MASSIVE financial resources to do everything in-house for their league members. Taverns will have NO problem hooking up their TVs to a streaming feed and will love to do so as it will get sports fans that don’t have Internet-connected TVs to come in and see the game on a big screen TV. But that edge for taverns will only last a fleeting moment as sports fans will lead the way of getting online TV streaming onto their home TV sets so they can watch their favorite sports team play. And all the money that the cable and broadcast TV networks pocketed from these sports games will instead go into the sports team owners’ pockets.

What reality TV is today to the current TV industry, live events will be to the online TV industry. With live events, you can still have commercial breaks. TV news is perfectly designed for this. A live 24/7 online TV news service can operate just like how FNC, CNN, and MSNBC operate today. And they can do this not just with covering live news events but live discussion panels and live interviews.

I think the biggest problem with online drama is that it isn’t live. It tries to be like current TV in being pre-recorded and I think that is the biggest mistake it is currently making. During TV’s “Golden Age”, a lot of the drama shows were done live. Expect that sort of programming to get a rebirth on online TV. By doing so, dramas once again become group viewing events.

Lastly, I think it is foolish to think that the current Big Boys of the TV industry will make the transition to becoming the Big Boys of online TV. That’s just not how new industries commonly emerge. If that was the case, IBM would be the biggest sellers of personal computers. Yes, that is how it happened with radio to TV but that’s because both required government-sanctioned monopolies and that gave radio station owners clout to get the limited TV licenses. The internet doesn’t give out monopolies. It destroys them.

bill

“A 2010 Forrester study showed that for the first time, Americans now spend as much time on the Internet as they do in front of the TV.”

Which means they are just as stupid as ever…..

Lance T. Paterson

Just 2c from a guy who works a bit more frontline in assuring delivery…

It does seem that while the Net does have the access to all the right content these days (well, unless you’re Netflix – their recent moves are an object lesson in how to successfully sabotage your own business model), there’s one rather prosaic issue that could keep this industry change at bay.

Bandwidth.

There are still many places in the USA and Europe, let alone developing markets, where local physical infrastructure still does not permit enough speed for regular surfing, let alone internet TV. We’re not talking about the backwoods either: many major metroplexes still suffer from poorly-maintained exchanges and other last-mile problems.

More to the point, should a more corporately-friendly (ie: Republican) administration decide to change the FCC’s position on Network Neutrality, users could at best find themselves firmly guided towards their provider’s own-brand VoD service. At worst bandwidth fees or blackouts for video delivery could knock out new competitors and put a heavy profit tax on established players.

I have looked at one or two experimental technologies that could help, including improved compression systems that could cut the amount of bandwidth video uses by a factor of 10. However, until ways can be established that guarantee ALL users get that last-mile delivery as reliably as turning on their TV, there’s still work to do.

BJ Mendelson

Question: Does Habib Kairou own any shares in companies that will “disrupt” traditional television? Sure seems like something worth mentioning one way or another in an article like this.

Len Feldman

Comparing the print and video markets is, at least in the context of this post, like comparing apples and oranges. The problems with print (specifically, newspapers and magazines) weren’t the three reasons in the post. Rather, they were:

1) Print publications put their contents on the web for free, thus undermining the value of their publications,

2) Services like craigslist undermined the newspapers’ biggest profit generator, classified advertising, and

3) The Great Recession dramatically slashed display advertising spending in newspapers and magazines; ad spending still hasn’t returned to its pre-2008 level.

Compare that with television: Most commercial television programming is free (either over-the-air, or included with consumers’ cable, satellite or IPTV subscriptions). So, it’s not the content that costs consumers money–it’s the cost of access to the content, through cable operators, etc., that consumers want to control by going online.

So, who controls access to the content? The content producers/distributors, such as the television networks and movie studios, ultimately do, but the service providers are by far the producer/distributors biggest customers, and thus can largely dictate who gets access to the content, when, how and at what price. Until an Internet distributor, such as Apple or Netflix, is willing to put so much money into the pockets of producer/distributors that it compensates them for the loss of revenue from the cable, satellite and IPTV service providers, the service providers will control Internet content distribution.

Dave

Print publications put their content on the web because they figured it was eyeballs on their websites or no eyeballs at all. The key for both industries is sourcing quality content as cheaply as they can and distributing it in ways people prefer. Print sources are pretty good at this now. TV and content companies are absolutely terrible at it, because they have to be if they’re going to maintain the status quo. Sound familiar?

You’re absolutely right about the ebay/craigslist/[jobsites]/online advertising bit. The flip side for TV is that ad revenue for eyeballs on interstitial ads is going to go the way of the dodo. It amazes me that people still pay through the nose, primarily for content they don’t want, mediocre selection, through a device they hate, at a time that’s inconvenient, with multiple, long ad breaks during the few short shows they DO watch.

All I can come up with is that consumers are still learning, and companies are throwing band-aids like DVR’s at them to stave off disaster. In the meantime, the media device makers and all the online content distribution companies are pecking away at better and better offerings. And I don’t know how content creation will be funded in the future… but the current situation is untenable. Maybe direct sales revenue will work, or pay-walled distribution… I don’t know.

I don’t really understand your 3rd though, as I can’t imagine you meant that, during a recession, TV ads pick up where print ads decline. If anything, I’d say recessions hurt TV companies worse. I know a number of folks who looked at their $100+/mo bills and thought, “uh, I’m effectively paying $16 per episode for the few shows I watch”.

Alfred Poor

First, let me say that I think that there is a lot of good insight presented in this article. I don’t agree with all of it, but there’s plenty of solid material to chew on (as witnessed by most of these comments).
Len, I want to respond to your second point about craigslist. From my perspective, the impact of the Internet is all about disintermediation. (I hate the jargony word, but it really describes the situation.) Print on demand, blogs, CD Baby, even Amazon are all run-away examples of how Internet entities have peeled off a small (or large) part of an existing industry. Craigslist has decimated the local newspaper’s classified section because it does it so much better and for so much less.
And I think that is absolutely relevant to the points made in the article. Hulu and Netflix are eliminating middlemen to deliver more of what consumers want and less of what they don’t. That’s a recipe for success. True, it has not been proven yet that they have a sustainable model and there are many danger points ahead, but traditional TV distribution will ignore the consumer demands at its peril.
In the future, there will be no “linear programming”. We will have access to what we want to watch, when and where we want to watch it, and the Internet will be the driving force that makes this happen.
Alfred Poor
HDTV Almanac

Jonatha

This is WHY gigaom loses money and why you are not a real writer but a blogger trying to supplement your welfare check…

NONE of what you claim is “widely accepted” is actually widely accepted. Not even closely.

Scarab83

Actually.. it IS widely accepted that newspapers and magazines are in a steady decline.

farwestab

“Widely accepted” isn’t actually relevant: the numbers show newspapers and magazines are in steady decline: subscriber bases are smaller, there are fewer newspapers and magazines in existence, revenue is down as is profitability. A better description would be “widely proven”. The decline of print isn’t about belief, it is about proof and fact. Whether some people “accept it” or not is irrelevant: print media is in trouble.

Jonatha

IT is weird to talk about dying industries like print when many newspapers still make a FAR bigger profit than gigaom (and most crappy blogs like you that make nothing in profit.)

Dave

The list of successfully pay-walled information sources is short. And any newspaper will tell you what the web has done to their print business. Now Amazon is selling more ebooks than paper ones and tablet consumption is taking off like gangbusters. Of course there will always be a need for proper journalism, paid products and services, physical print material, etc. It just isn’t, and never will be, the same as it used to be.

And TV is a prime candidate to be next. They hid behind huge infrastructure costs that are just largely unneeded now. The cost of bandwidth for distribution and consumption is always headed downward, and the technology required to produce and distribute is absurdly cheap.

And I hope they’re right. Few things would be better than to see the old, crap-tastic way that industry works get raised to the ground. No more bundling crap. No more hostage hw charges. No more content subsidizing by the right-holders. Etc. The consumers have gotten the shaft for decades and there’s no reason it can’t change now.

Erik Schwartz

What do you mean the infrastructure costs are “largely unneeded now”?

The infrastructure required to deliver IPTV at the same level of service is much larger and more expensive than the infrastructure required for broadcast. The base infrastructure requirements are basically similar, but in broadcasting each incremental viewer is free, not so with IPTV.

Mo Kilma

TV Devo is a scam site. You have been promoting this site in the comments sections on many blogs. Please stop.

Ryan Lawler

Mo, Thanks. That account has been spamming/astroturfing for some time. I marked the comment as spam.

Tim Dillenberger

Thanks for standing up to the TV Devo Scam artists promotion tactic.

David H. Deans

IMHO, the bigger question is when will all the players in the various parts of the TV ecosystem acknowledge that “video viewing” can no longer be assumed as a group event — where family or friends cluster around the TV set together. Much of the consumption now is solo viewing, which drives the demand for greater personalization of the experience.

My point: the industry has been lacking meaningful ethnographic research that highlights the shifts in viewing habits — and therefore no analysis of the impact that the apparent trends are having on legacy assumptions about the traditional business models.

I don’t believe that the key players can make intelligent decisions about platforms, formats or content priorities until they’re armed with this insight. High-level demographic data and limited user persona profile segmentation simply isn’t enough.

Randy Spangler

I agree that large corporations need data in order to make long term decisions, but if an anecdotal baseball bat whops you up the side of the head, wouldn’t you think that might get your attention?

We see how the music industry has imploded, we remember Ken Olsen’s (DEC founder) declaration that no one needed a PC at home and we laugh at Bill Gates’ assertion that 64K was enough for a PC. Are these ‘experts’ that stupid not to recognize the coming tsunami?

Unlike Fukushima, they have more than 30 minutes warning, but like Fukushima, they will have their world irreparably changed sure as day turns into night.

Check out my <a href="http://the-asterisk.blogspot.com/2011/09/is-tv-in-for-heck-of-ride.html&quot;.blog post reply to this article.

bunny

I believe that group viewing is due a revival. I believe that current networks worldwide have targeted individual groups so heavily in the past twenty years, that viewers have had to splinter.

Three years ago I identified that there were no shows in prime time anywhere in the world that were aimed at a young family. Where the parents and their young children could all sit and enjoy together. There was childrens programming, adults programming, and “Reality TV” which is mainly adults programming, but sometimes has child friendly content.

There are no shows like The Muppet Show any longer. Where the parents have more artistic/adult content mixed in with bad jokes and slapstick for the children.

It is impossible to claim that the audience no longer wants this sort of content, when no one has created it for 20 years. Before the Harry Potter fad, people were claiming that children no longer wanted to read. The problem with their theory was that no one had created written content aimed at tweens in over a decade.

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