Duke Energy (s DUK), one of the country’s largest utilities and consumers of coal in the U.S., aims to fire up a new coal plant in 2012 in Indiana — a 618-MW behemoth meant to test carbon capture and storage technology and use what’s called integrated gasification combined cycle tech to limit the plant’s emissions and water use. It was never going to be cheap, but now the utility says cost estimates for the project have ballooned to a whopping $2.88 billion, up from original 2007 estimate of less than $2 billion and a later revised estimate of $2.35 billion.
Duke needs approval from state utility regulators to hike up electricity rates by some 19 percent to cover the rising costs. The company’s notice to the utility commission today comes at a time when coal kingpins are fighting in Congressional hearings to boost federal aid for carbon capture and storage projects, and to promote coal as the cheapest and most abundant resource around for electricity generation in the U.S. (They’re butting heads with oil baron and natural gas promoter T. Boone Pickens in the process.)
So what did Duke overlook in its previous cost estimates for a project that the utility says is now nearly 60 percent complete? General complexity. “As engineering progressed, the project’s design and complexity expanded significantly,” James Turner, president and chief operating officer of Duke’s regulated utilities, said in a statement today.
As part of the investment that regulators have already approved for the project, Duke plans to spend $17 million studying capture and underground storage of carbon dioxide emissions at the plant. According to Secretary of Energy Steven Chu, carbon capture and storage technology as it exists today would increase the cost of generating energy from coal by about 80 percent. But the tech needs to be ready for “widespread, affordable deployment” — somewhere in the range of 20-25 percent above today’s coal costs — within a decade, Chu said in an event hosted by Google (s GOOG) last year. Duke’s rising cost estimates offer a glimpse of the hurdles sure to arise en route to that goal, while highlighting the urgency to commercialize low-cost green alternatives and making efficiency look like a pretty good deal.