With all the interest in Netbooks these days, many eyes are on Apple (s aapl) to see what kind of move they may make in this relatively new space. Some analysts believe that Netbooks are a risky idea for all PC makers, while others foster the belief that Apple could be in trouble because of such devices. I think the speculation and analysis of Apple’s plans has been done to death (as with anything that Apple hasn’t announced yet), so this is my view of how I think Apple should address the Netbook market.
Quickly, let’s define a typical Netbook. Generally sized around 6″ by 9″, these are small, ultramobile computers. The hardware tends to be severely underpowered, that is, relative to the notebook and desktop computers we are used to using these days. And it’s commonplace for optical drives, and most ports (ethernet, display, etc) to be absent in order to save space. So these are small, limited capability machines that can go nearly anywhere and accomplish run of the mill computing activities like email and web browsing.
On one side of the coin are fears coming from PC makers themselves. They don’t want to cannibalize their high-end computer system sales by addressing the Netbook market. Profit margins on Netbooks, after all, are nothing like the high horsepower gaming and multimedia machines they love to sell for big bucks. Apple, being mostly a premium-only computer maker, could very easily fit into this line of thought. The other side of the coin however, is that Apple’s relatively small market share can only be diminished by such inexpensive rival computer offerings, especially in these difficult economic times. Apple’s Achilles heel is that (with the exception of the relatively low-powered Mac mini) they don’t offer low-end machines. Analysts feel that they need to get into this space to have a chance at holding the footing they’ve fought so hard for.
On Their Way
I think the recent upgrades to Apple’s notebook line have greatly blurred the lines between consumer and pro, leaving plenty of space for a Netbook-size offering. Of course if something is indeed in the pipeline, Apple will lie through its teeth about it until they’re good and ready for a proper unveil. My suspicion is that whatever Cupertino’s concept is of a Netbook, it bears very little resemblance to what the rest of us are becoming accustomed to from the likes of Dell (s dell), HP (s hpq), and other current Netbook manufacturers.
In a manner of speaking, Apple has already entered this market, albeit, incognito. Disguised as a cellular phone and MP3 player respectively, the iPhone and iPod touch are on the verge of being an ultramobile computing platform. I’m not saying they that these devices do in fact fill this space — there are after all, lots of shortcomings when compared to a true Netbook (lack of x86 architecture and no copy/paste come to mind, for example) — rather, that they’re a peek at the potential from Apple.
Fellow GigaOm blogger, jkOnTheRun’s Kevin Tofel, shared with me, “The market is trying to shoehorn a full desktop OS on to these devices, but that may not be the best idea.” Interestingly, Apple has already shown us a modified version of OS X running on these devices — possibly a step toward addressing Kevin’s gripe. Unfortunately, the ugly truth is that an unsubsidized 16GB iPhone costs nearly $700, which is nearly double the typical Netbook price tag. In order for Apple to compete with conventional Netbooks within their price range would be a monumental task, at least by conventional thinking. Perhaps it’s time to think different…
“I Got Vision & The Rest of The World is Wearing Bifocals”
I believe Apple will put to use the strong partnership they’ve forged with Intel (s intc) and Nvidia (s nvda) to cram some powerful parts into a small package — mostly because they don’t seem capable of bringing anything less to market. And I’m guessing the interface will be something Multitouch-based, only taken to the next level. I’m envisioning something along the lines of a full half of the clam-shell being akin to the glass trackpads of today’s unibody MacBook line.
Despite super tiny hard drive options now a days, I can see Apple pushing MobileMe as a cloud storage solution (hopefully once MobileMe is running like the well-oiled machine we all expect from Apple). In doing so comes a possible option to alleviate a small bit of the pricing if a MobileMe contract is agreed-upon at purchase. The way Apple has pushed .Mac in the past leads me to believe that this isn’t too far fetched. Then to address further costs, subsidized pricing may come as this device is offered via partnership with AT&T and their 3G service, for nearly ubiquitous connectivity.
Last, Kevin mentions the relatively poor battery life of current Netbook offerings. Between Apple’s efficient hardware architecture designs, and the new moldable battery technology in the 17″ MacBook Pro, I’d say there’s yet some more huge potential for Cupertino to turn the Netbook market on its ear.
If Apple can overcome the pricing hurdle, I’ve no doubt they’ll bring a whole new degree of sexy to the Netbook market. With the iPhone, they’ve proven their ability to enter an already established market and hurtle themselves to the front of the pack. Why not with something like a Netbook that could bring even more users into the fold? (Ha, I say ‘users’ as if Apple is a drug. Perhaps I’m on to something…)
In my completely unsubstantiated opinion, I think it’s safe to say that the Netbook market is much more viable for Apple to consider than the Tablet space has been, and that an announcement is inevitable in the next year. How that product will look and function, or how its price will stack against the competition is anyone’s guess. But as someone who’s hungrily eying some of the current Netbook models (to be lovingly made into a Hackintosh to hold me over), I’m anxiously anticipating hard news from Cupertino on the subject.
Got some wild, Apple-worthy ideas of what their Netbook may look like? Do share in the comments! Oh, and bonus points if you know where the “bifocals” quote is from…