Yahoo-Google: Both Sides Win, But Google Wins More: Analyst


imageYahoo’s (NSDQ: YHOO) ad deal with Google should help it monetize certain queries better, but analysts have wondered whether Yahoo risks hollowing out its own ad business, as buyers view Google as a one-stop shop. Yahoo has been quick to dismiss the notion that the deal makes it irrelevant, and of course, Google will only have access to limited inventory. Along with the company’s latest 10-Q, the company put out a heavily redacted copy of its agreement with Google (NSDQ: GOOG). The one notable detail in there is that Google’s Adsense For Content may appear on third-party Yahoo affiliates, not just search results. It’s a logical extension: Just as Yahoo does a poor job of monetizing “long tail” search queries (due to its lack of scale), it can also use help on long tail content.

Jefferies analyst Youseff Squali thinks this presents a new risk for Yahoo: “Despite the quid pro quo nature of the deal, we believe Google will benefit disproportionately from this deal over time given the enticing opportunity to take a peek under the hood at Yahoo!’s non-search business, and the possibility to leverage those insights to improve its growing display business. If Google is able to provide better yield at the tail-end, Yahoo! could face increased risk of affiliates migrating to Google overtime.

He also brings up an interesting regulatory angle on this detail (note that the companies still haven’t received a regulatory greenlight): “Importantly, the broader deal with a search and non-search components could have a higher probability of clearing regulatory hurdles, in our opinion. Instead of denying a stand-alone search deal on the basis of Google’s dominant search market share, the regulators will be forced to evaluate this broader advertising deal where no single company enjoys a significant market lead.”


Kent Knight

The GooHoo (Google+Yahoo) ad deal was conceived by Google and not Yahoo. The deal was basically meant to thwart Microsoft from getting a foothold in the advertisement business. Regardless of whether Microsoft is a monopoly or not, the deal basically prevents a third party (other than microsoft) to enter the online ad business. For Yahoo, because of the boneheaded nature of its board did not see the problem with such a deal other than the immediate retaliation to Microsoft. Basically both Yahoo and Google have suffered because of this. Google suffered because a dept of Justice investigation will probably expose more details about how the company operates. This is in no way a good thing for Google. If you are a share holder in Google or Yahoo, you will notice that the ad deal would have managed to bring down both stocks.

digital bear

disproportionately- ouch! sounds like the market share in search. it is like a 7 step program: 1) clobber them in search; 2) poach all their key employees; 3) tank their chances for a deal with yahoo by getting jerry to believe he still has a cult following; 4) introduce a few new products like android & google docs that change the game; 5) lead the pack with open social; 6) get a "disproportionate deal for advertising; and 7) watch their advertisers disappear and close down their campus. lotus notes; word perfect, yahoo…

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