Yes, I realize they don’t break it out, but they do make the following forecast re: mobile offload to fixed (everything not macro cell):

“As a percentage of total mobile data traffic from handsets and tablets, mobile offload will be 31 percent (3.1 exabytes/month) in 2016, down slightly from 33 percent (72 petabytes/month) in 2011 (Figure 9). Total mobile data traffic from handsets and tablets will reach 6.9 exabytes/month by 2016, up from 145 petabytes/month in 2011. The percentage of traffic offloaded from tablets and handsets remains relatively flat over the forecast period.”

I think they were smoking something good when they wrote this. Mobidia’s statistics from actual smartphone use (http://www.informatandm.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Mobidia_final.pdf) inidcates ~70% of smartphone data traffic is going over Wi-Fi today. And you’ve seen the China Mobile data. Cisco is off by an order of magnitude on Wi-Fi offload today, never mind 4 years from now.

I also don’t understand how you can forecast a declining offload percentage (33% 2011 -> 31% 2016) when Carrier Wi-Fi, small cells, and Passpoint are all likely to increase macro cell offload during that period. Makes no sense to me.

Regards