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Summary:

Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sales and share price trouble, Nokia has fired back by announcing that UK sales of the Lumia 800 are doing better than expected. Is it time to cut the Finnish handset maker a break?

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Nokia just can’t catch a break right now: In the hours after reports swirled around the web about one analyst cutting sales estimates for the new Lumia handsets, the Finnish company’s share price plummeted by nearly 10 percent.

Faced with this, the company has fired back with an attempt to lift its spirits. As
Reuters reports:

Nokia said sales of its first Windows Phone model, the Lumia 800, were off to an excellent start in Britain . . .

“Lumia 800 sales in the U.K. are off to an excellent start,” Nokia said in a statement. “Based on earliest data the sales start of the Lumia 800 is the best ever first week of Nokia smartphone sales in the U.K. in recent history.

“By our measures, we have gained significant smartphone sell-out share in the channels in which we are operating in the U.K.,” Nokia said.

There are plenty of qualifications in there: “An excellent start” is fairly unquantifiable; we don’t know what the “earliest data” is; and “in recent history” is vague enough to feel like a piece of spin speak. But with so many writing the whole enterprise off on the back of a limited launch and a handful of reports, you can’t blame Nokia for wanting to put out a different message.

The thing is, the claim and counterclaims make for easy headlines, but they almost all overlook what this situation is really about for Nokia.

The Lumia certainly isn’t about winning, at least not in the short term: It’s about reclaiming ground. It’s about stopping the rot, making products that some people love — perhaps not everybody. It’s about plotting a strategy and creating things that will drip down into the markets where Nokia is strongest over the next few years.

The share price drop suggests we have learned nothing from the short-termism of the financial crisis. Our distorted sense of what constitutes success creates these boom-or-bust moments that often ignore reality and increase the volatility in the market. Our increasingly frenzied news cycles pick up on small pieces of data and magnify them beyond all reasonable proportion.

After all, how many of us had heard of Pacific Crest (the analyst firm that estimated Nokia would sell) before yesterday? How many investors who saw reports that the Lumia launch was “a bust” realize that the reports are based on somebody looking at Google Trends? How many of us even trust analysts to get it right?

Don’t get me wrong: The stakes are tremendously high for Nokia here. Every statistic deserves to be scrutinized, every announcement should be pored over, every report has some weight to it — and if Nokia gets this totally wrong, it could be a long-term problem that is near impossible to recover from.

But turnarounds — if they happen at all — don’t happen overnight. Maybe we should stop behaving as if they do.

  1. New post: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/JWaxKKqV (@GigaOM)

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  2. RT @bobbiejohnson: New post: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/JWaxKKqV (@GigaOM)

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  3. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/KsH2Dckm via Bobbie Johnson

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  4. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent ’ Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than #voip #telcom http://t.co/CP3ufK0I

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  5. “No-name” analysts mess with #Nokia stock prices – meanwhile #Lumia off to a good start in the UK: http://t.co/nkgTdHWI (@GigaOM)

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  6. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/hgSG69y4

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  7. #Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/GIqXlkXh @om #mobile

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  8. “how many of us had heard of Pacific Crest (the analyst firm that estimated what Nokia would sell ) before yesterday?” http://t.co/8Ptbb046

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  9. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are excellent http://t.co/u665HMiI

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  10. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/pG3JJ6Hc

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  11. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/EfODyBZg

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  12. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/sXyk4oyX

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  13. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/8xoPvbZo

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  14. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/RRZ13JKT

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  15. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/zAY4HNXG

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  16. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/MKRxbKMQ #BYOD

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  17. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/sOAVM9l0 #BYOD

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  18. RT @williammilisic: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are excellent http://t.co/u665HMiI

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  19. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/kXPeNFtl

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  20. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/hqVaPIs9

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  21. Nokia says sales in the UK are excellent http://t.co/TEJS7R25

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  22. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent ’ #socialmedia http://t.co/xJqzzFYT

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  23. gigaom: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/aY0kEIz7

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  24. RT @gigaom: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/pG3JJ6Hc

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  25. WP7-based Lumia 800 enjoys the best-ever first week of Nokia smartphone sales in the UK in recent history. http://t.co/TaJgn686

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  26. RT @gianlucacarrera: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent ’ #socialmedia http://t.co/xJqzzFYT

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  27. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent ’ #socialmedia http://t.co/VsGNqUzZ http://t.co/MGcJ7isc

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  28. RT @gianlucacarrera: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent ’ #socialmedia http://t.co/VsGNqUzZ http://t.co/wbeOCM30

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  29. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-exp… http://t.co/l014KNvU #gigaom

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  30. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/noVjwQB7 @amarchugg #news

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  31. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/UxY4rATe @amarchugg #news

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  32. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/QDcjQ8Oe

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  33. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/3iL9rKJk

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  34. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/eA3rJG8o

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  35. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/VNHfHHV7

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  36. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/jaWUVuQF

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  37. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/foc8DuO1

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  38. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/VAQGvy6k

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  39. RT @gigaom: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/pG3JJ6Hc

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  40. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/WpWgxdmo

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  41. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/55fsN9BM

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  42. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/rV7zqjqN

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  43. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/FXdPfTTy #technology

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  44. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/oqplSbdf

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  45. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than… http://t.co/rDMvLMF8 Via. GigaOM

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  46. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sa… http://t.co/D3gBcV9r

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  47. RT @gigaom: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/pG3JJ6Hc

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  48. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Nokia just can’t catch a break right now: in the hours after … http://t.co/sFwNTHBP

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  49. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/7oif0y7i

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  50. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: Nokia just can’t catch a break right now… http://t.co/2VU0IRnI

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  51. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ – http://t.co/B2Tae4OU – @gigaom – [Excellent post! Screw financial markets. Go Nokia!]

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  52. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/Div8fn5P

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  53. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ – Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sales… http://t.co/h27clZY2

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  54. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ – Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sales… http://t.co/rCP0G5nQ

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  55. Social Media News : Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/vbNrSLYL

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  56. @earth2tech: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/v7IRdIQX

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  57. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/3q5E9LSb

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  58. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/nnSp40jj

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  59. #tech #news Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/EbekoFtu

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  60. @PascalToTheMax RT @leesmallwood: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent ’ http://t.co/G4OnGLbm

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  61. RT @leesmallwood: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent ’ http://t.co/a5SCTwd0

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  62. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ – Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sales… http://t.co/uoigetqr

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  63. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ – Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sales… http://t.co/d9Hor23b

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  64. http://t.co/VE4250I8 Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’: By Bobbie Johnson Nov. 23, 2011, 3:20am … http://t.co/PbbwQpAZ

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  65. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ – Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sales… http://t.co/doQ9EFjZ

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  66. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ – Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-expected sales… http://t.co/vNF9V1Cx

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  67. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/v90Xxgyk

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  68. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/hZTsNOAG

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  69. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/sMivUHRs via @gigaom

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  70. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/OQ2kADU0

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  71. Nokia mata en Yunaikindom: ventas son “excelentes” http://t.co/S1cWzlgh – shared from @Taptu

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  72. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ – http://t.co/Z0BOZJrj

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  73. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ — Tech News and Analysis http://t.co/0H25Fkoi

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  74. Odlična analiza #Nokia #Lumia Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/16FZ5geT

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  75. Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/SUBB5JvT by @bobbiejohnson

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  76. RT @gigaom: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/pG3JJ6Hc

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  77. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent ” Faced with reports from analysts about lower-than-e #voip #telcom http://t.co/CP3ufK0I

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  78. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/i0rBKv4j

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  79. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/ZjMBrHLC

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  80. RT @williammilisic: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are excellent http://t.co/u665HMiI

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  81. RT @byodexpert: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/mMIxbqKW #BYOD

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  82. Interesting… “@gigaom: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are ‘excellent’ http://t.co/1JComhAi”

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  83. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/fAP3NbuW

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  84. RT @williammilisic: Nokia puts on a smile: U.K. sales are excellent http://t.co/u665HMiI

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  85. Great post here!! I was going to cover this topic myself now I don’t have to! Nokia Lumia sales not about right http://t.co/snLnB79U

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  86. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/lv7bDGXd via @gigaom

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  87. Sense and sensibility in the Nokia WinPho sales department. http://t.co/5GAYeA3K

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  88. “#Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent”.” #Lumia800 http://t.co/W5CKUc8E

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  89. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/7FcdAZhS

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  90. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/JA626wx7

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  91. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — Tech News and …: Faced with reports from analysts about lowe… http://t.co/RE0ikSP2

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  92. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” | Tech News and Analysis http://t.co/KpyDcBMr

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  93. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” | Tech News and Analysis http://t.co/UM1wfdxq

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  94. http://t.co/VE4250I8 Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — Tech News and …: Faced with reports fro… http://t.co/BRgFGjNm

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  95. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — Tech News and … http://t.co/YrilkQJF

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  96. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — Tech News and …: Faced with reports from analysts about lowe… http://t.co/77fnMXUT

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  97. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/ZLyr6Vmw

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  98. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/b6TUfaJw

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  99. No sé si será verdad…. o un milagro en ese mercado súper apple
    Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/9wsZREVc

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  100. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/wzx1tmce

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  101. RT @movyloshop: Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/wzx1tmce

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  102. Ran around London trying to find the new Nokia Lumia but it was sold out everywhere. No wonder http://t.co/DGfBJqce #nokialumia #nokia

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  103. Maybe they’re finally onto something? http://t.co/fBhKU5ms

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  104. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/Bodx52RV

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  105. Problem is the Iphone was released in 2007. NOK is only 5 yrs too late. The land grab is over in the developed world. Now it is a market share game..a lot harder. The low end is still up for grabs but the competition is fierce and profitability illusive. So the best that NOK can hope for is to buy share..unprofitable growth..how long will shareholders give them in that scenario? Similar to MSFT buying search share but in MSFT’s case they can afford to lose a few billion a year indefinitely.

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  106. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” http://t.co/CurHqcnh

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  107. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — #mobile http://t.co/Z69Zd7nv

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  108. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — #mobile http://t.co/cbKhxAiU

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  109. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — #mobile http://t.co/DOm0rfw9

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  110. RT “@i4harold: Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — #mobile http://t.co/rx5LpHG5

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  111. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — #mobile http://t.co/U3F2Yz0k

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  112. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — #mobile http://t.co/HGvHf9LZ

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  113. Nokia puts on a smile: UK sales are “excellent” — #mobile http://t.co/Oe96OjpK

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