Comments on: The Perils of the Prediction Game http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/ Wed, 22 May 2013 23:18:30 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.com/ By: How Do You Sell Apps When Advertising Doesn’t?: Apple News, Tips and Reviews « http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-600702 Fri, 25 Feb 2011 18:31:41 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-600702 [...] digital marketplace, and that’s not becoming any less true in the growing mobile market. Om talked a bit about the shortcoming of advertising in digital media in his predictions for 2011, and those statements ring true with Casasanta’s point: your money, and your attention, is [...]

]]> By: Motorola Worries of Overreliance on Verizon/Android : Tech News and Analysis « http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-598583 Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:53:47 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-598583 [...] realize more and more. With the smartphone game increasingly coming down to scale, favoring large vertical companies like Apple and Samsung, it’s going to put even more pressure on Motorola to figure out how to make Android and its [...]

]]> By: AOL+HuffPo! Why It is Not Really a Good Deal?: Tech News and Analysis « http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-587661 Mon, 07 Feb 2011 08:42:44 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-587661 [...] – wow! I had called for HuffPo being acquired by MSNBC before the end of 2011. But then those are the perils of the prediction game. The acquisition is not a surprise, considering AOL has been on a buyout [...]

]]> By: Will the iPhone Stay on the Path of Growth?: Tech News and Analysis « http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-582553 Fri, 28 Jan 2011 23:59:09 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-582553 [...] them on the wrong side of history. As I pointed out earlier, the smart phone winners are companies which have scale and are vertically integrated. According to the Gartner Group research firm, in terms of dollars, Apple is the third largest chip [...]

]]> By: Annotated story « onderzoekamsterdam http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-572733 Mon, 10 Jan 2011 16:01:17 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-572733 [...] doesn’t set us up for a return to pre-Internet business models, argues Bradford Cross. The numbers on iPad magazine sales are not good, because old media want to keep the subscription model. “Now [...]

]]> By: FTM http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-565370 Mon, 03 Jan 2011 06:43:08 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-565370 Methinks it’s confirmation-bias as much as (if not more than) optimism that makes us buy into “bad pundits”.

]]> By: How to Stop the iPad Magazine Download Slide: Apple News, Tips and Reviews « http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-563373 Thu, 30 Dec 2010 16:53:36 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-563373 [...] reported that according to recent numbers, interest in iPad magazines is quickly dwindling, as noted by Om in his recent post about year-end predictions. Wired‘s iPad edition was widely praised, and sold 100,000 in its first month. By November, [...]

]]> By: Om Malik http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-563360 Thu, 30 Dec 2010 16:35:27 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-563360 Well said @carl. I couldn’t agree with you more.

]]> By: Om Malik http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-563357 Thu, 30 Dec 2010 16:33:27 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-563357 Ed

Similar assertions were made about Apple’s iPod and well, that turned out well for the competition.

I still am confident that Samsung is going to cause problems for the other two. Mobility blogs, as you mention them, never factor in issues such as component supply chain and capacity constraints.

How about same place, same time.

]]> By: Carl http://gigaom.com/2010/12/29/the-perils-of-the-prediction-game/#comment-563236 Thu, 30 Dec 2010 12:24:33 +0000 http://gigaom.com/?p=281520#comment-563236 Bad pundits continue to thrive because we prefer to listen to optimists even if they are proved wrong, than to pessimists who turn out to be right. Furthermore, the rewards for wide-eyed optimism are far greater than for rational pessimism.

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