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Summary:

Is the emergence of the real-time web a sign of a society obsessed with the present? From Twitter to Facebook, signs indicate as much, and this is redefining the idea of Now and how it impacts everything from innovation to how we live.

NovaSpviack

This past week, Nova Spivack, founder of Twine, a web service that dealt with information overload, stopped by in our offices to discuss the future of the web. I first met Nova when he started Earthweb (now called Dice.com), and over the years, I’ve kept in touch with him. I followed the birth and fall of Radar Networks, the company behind Twine. He is now the co-founder of LiveMatrix, a directory of live events on the web.

Lately, I’ve been exploring the idea of where the web will go next, and as a result, have been talking to many folks. Spivack has been in the web’s trenches for a very long time, and has always had a fairly unique view of the Internet. He and I started talking about the future of the Internet and how it relates to society in general. The conversation that followed centered on Spivack’s core argument that 21st century will be about the Now.

Spivack argued that prior to the 20th century, society was generally preoccupied with the past, studying history and reflecting on the past. In the 20th century, we became obsessed with the future, reflected in the furious pace of inventions and social obsession with science fiction through the decades. However, the 21st century so far is about the present.

The emergence of the real-time web is about the present, and the present impacts how we invent, Spivack argued. Over the next 10 years, we’re going to be looking for ways to deal with the near ubiquitous Internet connectivity  and data around us, almost in real-time.

“With the real-time web, the amount of information we have to handle is changing the Now,” he said. “Now is becoming a lot denser. There’s a lot more information in per unit of Now. The Now is getting shorter. The horizon is getting narrower. Now has gone from days to hours to seconds.”

In this new Now, the big challenge, especially for startups is attention. “Every new service competes for fraction of a fraction of our free time. Or displaces something else which has that time,” he said. But this challenge is also an opportunity. “It (attention) is the word that defines this phase of the web,” Spivack quipped. He had argued about the need for focusing attention in a guest post, Trailmeme and the Web of Intent. Somewhere, Steve Gillmor, the early proponent of attention economy, is smiling.

  1. “As more we communicate as less we think.”
    My excuse to run < 130 miles a month :-)

    Maybe that's the difference between 20 and 21 century (so far). But some of us got that and are careful whom and amount they communicate with.

    Also I believe the 21 century will be about how we organize data, which leads us to being able to "calculate" the information value of information not just create them. Or after I get home from a run the system will let me know nothing really happened.

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    1. Ronald

      Well put. I agree with the idea of organizing the data. I think Nova is essentially saying the very same thing you are suggesting.

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  2. It’s a little hard to take advice from someone with such an, um, spotty record? Sorry, just sayin’

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    1. Not sure what you mean. Dice.com is around and his next company didn’t work out. He is batting .500. That’s pretty good in my books.

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      1. I think he was the co-founder of EarthWeb, not Dice. Let’s not play loose with the facts to defend a source.

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    2. @jasson the article very clearly outlines: “Earthweb (now called Dice.com)” so i am not sure what you mean by playing loose by the facts.

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  3. [...] The New Now: How Real Time Redefines the Now by Om Malik ‹Previous Post I’m on a boat! Next Post Pecha Kucha› [...]

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  4. [...] had an interesting discussion with Om Malik recently, about the realtime Web, innovation, semantics and the Stream, and the changing nature of [...]

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  5. EarthWeb acquired Dice when it was small and grew it into a big brand. EarthWeb had a record breaking IPO, making a great return for the company’s investors. Years later after the Bubble burst EarthWeb was acquired and taken private for several hundred million, and renamed to Dice Inc. Then the company went public again as Dice Inc. a few years ago. Dice continues to grow and prosper today. Two successful IPOs from one company ain’t bad.

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  6. Nova Spivack is right on. If you are familiar with the sports visualizations for the NFL or NBA, they are useful proxies for imagining the future of real-time information. Thousands of tiny text updates are reconfigured into a screen-sized UI to give you a sense of what is happening in the game right now, and one can zoom in on a specific player or zoom out to evaluate trends. And, just as the visualization for American football doesn’t work for soccer, these visualizations will be tuned to specific uses.

    (And to Nova Spivack’s point, ancient Greece is a great aside. I believe it was the last time all of mankind’s information was stored in one place…and the social issues then, such as the ‘death of memory’, mirror contemporary issues. Yet those subtleties, along with an appreciation for the actual effort required to make an idea into a successful concern, are sadly lost to a majority of today’s audience.)

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    1. Great comment Brian. I have been enjoying the pulse on MLB. Look at it on their site. They are doing baseball tweet visualizations. Check it out.

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