10 Comments

Summary:

AT&T wants to push its wireline networks to 80 Mbps downstream networks in a trial this summer and talked up its ability to extend fiber closer to the customer, but it isn’t sure its customers need or want the FCC-mandated 100 Mbps broadband by 2020.

AT&T is planning for faster wireless, but also wants to push its wireline networks to 80 Mbps downstream this summer in a trial using esoteric copper technologies such as vectoring, pair bonding and spectrum management. In an interview with me yesterday, John Stankey, president and CEO of AT&T Operations, explained how the carrier is testing faster speeds on its fiber-to-the node network by upgrading to VDSL2 technology and hinted at AT&T’s ability and willingness to extend fiber closer to the customer’s home as demand rises. But it most assuredly isn’t ready to hop on the fiber-to-the-home bandwagon, not is it convinced its customers need or want the 100 Mbps broadband by 2020 that the FCC is seeking.

AT&T currently offers 24 Mbps down and 3 Mbps upstream as its top U-verse service tier, which is looking sloth-like when compared with the DOCSIS 3.0 being rolled out by its cable competitors and the fiber-to-the-home efforts of Verizon. Even Qwest is boosting speeds to 40/20 Mbps in some areas, although there are still plenty of people who would love U-verse speeds. Then there’s the looming specter of the National Broadband Plan, which includes the goal of offering 100 Mbps speeds to 100 million homes by 2020. I asked Stankey if AT&T could meet that goal using its fiber-to-the-node technology, which relies on copper from a neighborhood box to connect to the customer’s home.

But Stankey was less focused on AT&T’s ability to meet the goal than on disparaging the goal itself. “I don’t know what informed the FCC that [100 Mbps to 100 million homes] was the right answer,” he said. “We’ve been doing wired broadband for 10 years and we have meaningful curves in terms of speeds and demand that are statistically accurate and predictable.” Based on those curves Stankey said AT&T knows exactly how much data and throughput are needed as opposed to choosing a “nice round number” to shoot for.

“We feel comfortable…based on how we deploy, that we can match the needs of the customer,” Stankey said. For example, Stankey said that AT&T could extend fiber further along the local copper loop and then reduce the number of homes served by each neighborhood cabinet and shorten the distance bits have to travel over the last-mile copper. Reducing the distance is a key element when it come to improving the quality of signals and boosting speeds — the further out one is on the local loop, the slower the speeds are.

As for the upstream capabilities, Stankey wouldn’t say what AT&T might offer, nor what it theoretically could offer using the bonding, vectoring and spectrum management. “We’re evaluating the upstream characteristics and we might take [the 80 Mbps speeds] down to lower levels to offer more upstream,” Stankey said. The trials will last through the end of the summer.

Image courtesy of Flickr user Photo Monkey

Related GigaOM Pro Content (sub req’d): When It Comes to Pain at the Pipe, Upstream Is the New Downstream

You’re subscribed! If you like, you can update your settings

  1. Uhh… sure. AT&T has a model that can predict the bandwidth needs of its customers accurately. And the prices they’ll pay. And none of that is impacted by the fact that the way we use the internet is evolving somewhat unpredictably. Or by the competitive environment. Or anything. And if you believe that…

  2. 80 Mb/s… 100 Mb/s… I’m stuck at freaking 5 Mb/s on AT&T. U-verse stopped around 10 blocks from my San Francisco address, and the Death Star seems to have no plans to deliver it here.

    Sure, cable is available. Technically. I see the poor Comcast guys digging in the street almost every month, trying to keep equipment running. Gave them up after a while.

    Please don’t tell me about 100 vs 80 – just get me to 10 or 20.

    Peace…

  3. AT&T: Our Broadband Is Fast Enough – Company remains confident in plan to nurse copper | FiberToTheWhatever Wednesday, May 19, 2010

    [...] AT&T isn’t worried about Comcast 50 Mbps service encroaching on their territory, because they don’t think users want those speeds yet: “We ve been doing wired broadband for 10 years and we have meaningful curves in terms of [...]

  4. I know for a fact that AT&T cannot predict their customers’ needs because I am unfortunate enough to be one of their customers. I have DSL that’s supposed to be “up to 3 MBps,” but I’ve never seen half of that. Why haven’t I switched? Because they are the only provider where I live. I don’t count cable; I’ve had it before, and it always stopped working when any sports event needed the bandwidth for HD. They’re even more evil than AT&T.

    The FCC needs to force competition on these buggers, and then they’ll learn how much broadband their customers need.

  5. I know this was planned from the start to be a “friendly” interview and a PR opportunity for AT&T, but some of Mr. Stankey’s comments would make even the most stone-faced marketing professional cringe:

    “We’ve been doing wired broadband for 10 years and we have meaningful curves in terms of speeds and demand that are statistically accurate and predictable.”

    With AT&T not present in many markets, this is like a New York city hot dog vendor being able to predict demand in Venice Beach.

    Given the constant and loud chorus of complainants from bloggers and forum dwellers concerning AT&T’s handling of both their wired and wireless businesses, Mr. Stankey’s statements are bold indeed.

  6. Brett Glass Friday, May 21, 2010

    As usual, an anti-ISP article from Stacey Higginbotham, slamming AT&T for being innovative and fiscally responsible.

  7. Ramon B. Nuez Jr. Saturday, May 22, 2010

    This article makes AT&T just a little suspect. Stankey seems to be giving more excuses than a real broadband vision. His comment about FTTH is rather disturbing — AT&T seems comfortable with providing FTTB at U-verse speeds.

    Stankey does not believe that the average customer needs 100Mbps — suggesting that AT&T is more knowledgeable in this space than the FCC and their Broadband Plan.

    The only tool available in an argument of this nature is competition. I am hoping between Verizon’s FTTH, DOCSIS 3.0 and Google’s efforts — AT&T will have no other alternative but to “keep up with the Joneses”.

  8. milking the copper legacy network, protecting its investment in obsolete tech instead of delivering the future. similar to openretch in the UK, they are happy working on the scarcity model instead of rolling out fibre to deliver the end game… sad.

  9. AT&T Underwhelms With U-Verse Upgrade Friday, July 16, 2010

    [...] their U-Verse will get faster. It won’t. This isn’t as exciting as the 80 Mbps that AT&T’s John Stankey spoke with me about in May. And for those who don’t already have U-Verse via fiber to the node in their neighborhood, [...]

  10. Huawei Takes Copper to the Limit With 700 Mbps DSL: Tech News « Wednesday, September 22, 2010

    [...] the neighborhood, then uses the existing copper to connect to the home.) I’ve called it the slow road to fast broadband, but it’s certainly less risky and much, much cheaper. Recent ResearchDigg Relaunch Shows How [...]

Comments have been disabled for this post