Google’s Android OS-based phones and Apple’s iPhone maybe get all the media love, but one analyst firm believes that it will be RIM’s BlackBerry that will be the smartphone king of the U.S. market in five years. Pyramid Research expects the device to be the biggest beneficiary of the move to smartphones.
According to their research, smartphones represented 31 percent of the new handsets sold in the U.S. in 2009, more than double from 15 percent in 2007. They expect 60 percent of the new handsets to be sold in 2014 to be smartphones. The BlackBerry, which currently has 50 percent of the total U.S. smartphone market, will see that share decline to 37 percent, but the increase in terms of total smartphone sales is going to keep it ahead.
It would be nice if you could just touch up the pie charts. They are very difficult to read.
Actually they look very amateurish in a professionally looking site like yours.
The findings are an interesting read as a similar analysis has been done globally. We believe that the iPhone would do better. http://tinyurl.com/yafnf6e
Om,
Didn’t we just hear from Gartner that Android will be taking over the world ?
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2009/10/09/android_2012_gartner/
http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9139026/Android_to_grab_No._2_spot_by_2012_says_Gartner
Strange analysts !!!
But good to know someone thinks differently than Gartner.
Om,
The pie charts are more of eye charts and very unreadable. Any chance you can post a table with this data? Secondly – I am very curious what they see in terms of market share for apple.
thanks.
Sorry about that. I forgot to full size them. My bad. Fixing it.
This data differs significantly from that posted in this article from last month:
http://www.businessinsider.com/henry-blodget-smart-phone-market-update-apples-eating-everyone-elses-lunch-2009-10
Everyone knows the analysts just “blowing in the air”…specially when t comes to say what will happen in 2014….my “guess” is they may be right on BlackBerry being a strong player in North America come 2014…I can blow in the air too my friend…:-)
Where is the link to the report? At least to their summary….
I think they are wrong, every analyst I’ve seen so far has under-predicted Apple market share, and almost everyone I know who used to have a Blackberry has an iPhone now. The holdouts are the people who are stuck on Verizon, so when Apple goes non-exclusive they will hoover up much more market share. In France, where Apple is on all four main providers, they have a very high market share now.
Smartphones are the computing platform of the future, and history tells us that the platform with the most software wins. Blackberry is doomed because its too hard to develop software for their platform, as I argue in a blog post here
http://www.toktumi.com/voipnews/blackberry-doomed/
and which was covered by Wired here
http://www.wired.com/gadgetlab/2009/11/blackberry-innovative-edge/
this data is bunch of crap. no one could have predicted the rise of Apple and future market share is a matter of future products these companies will be launching..
Dave Smith wrote: “this data is bunch of crap. no one could have predicted the rise of Apple and future market share is a matter of future products these companies will be launching..”
Dave is correct. Making such specific predictions 5 years in the future of Tech makes this article nothing more than propaganda for RIM and it’s #1 ally, the God that Om worships, Microsoft.
It’s probable that RIM will retain it’s lead, although some other handset maker, Samsung or LG maybe, that makes a big push for Android in its lineup, will give RIM a run for its money. It’s highly doubtful that Apple will even retain that 15% share. For Apple, anything over a 10% marketshare, it sees as too many of the unwashed masses using the product, diminishing its “cool” sheen.