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Summary:

This morning Disney announced it would be joining Hulu, posting full-length episodes of current content from ABC primetime and daytime, ABC Family, SOAPnet and the Disney Channel on the site. The deal, details of which had leaked out over the past couple of months, includes a […]

This morning Disney announced it would be joining Hulu, posting full-length episodes of current content from ABC primetime and daytime, ABC Family, SOAPnet and the Disney Channel on the site. The deal, details of which had leaked out over the past couple of months, includes a 27 percent stake in Hulu for Disney, putting it on equal footing with founders NBC and News Corp. So let’s break down how this affects the web television distribution landscape:

Winners

Hulu gets a new two-year lease on life. This was an important re-up, because the site’s incredible momentum had put it on unsure footing, with its content-controlling parents doling out programs more sparingly and pulling it off of cable disintermediary Boxee. Yes, it’s only two years (see Chris’ counterpoint to this piece), but the site will be much more entrenched by then.

Disney, without even giving up all of its content (no ESPN!), gets equal footing with NBC and News Corp in the venture, which took on the initial risk and pain of incubating Hulu. However, the deal takes some of the wind out of ABC.com’s sails. ABC had until now run the only network site that was the exclusive provider of its own shows, and regularly led all networks in terms of on-site streams.

Losers

This deal reflects poorly on YouTube, since the Google-owned site quite clearly had the opportunity to sign Disney in the last couple months and only managed to rustle up short-form clips. YouTube’s statement on the matter is: “More content coming online in more places is a win for consumers and provides further validation of the growth of the online video market.” But the fact is, the site will need to figure out a way to monetize what it does best, and that’s not licensing premium content.

Every other video portal has simply stagnated. YouTube continues to hold onto massive market share — 40.9 percent of U.S. video streams, at last count. Meanwhile, Hulu has showed how a clean UI and some semi-fresh TV content simply tears up the charts. Everyone else just seems irrelevant at this point.

NBC and News Corp had a good idea and gave Hulu the tools and freedom it needed to execute well, but now it seems they won’t get anything special except a line in the history books for their troubles. On the other hand, Hulu allows them to stay relevant; in today’s unstable media world, it’s something that’s actually working.

Paid services from Amazon, iTunes and Netflix will also be negatively impacted as people see Hulu as a more comprehensive content offering, especially considering it’s free. Apple, especially, loses some of the luster of its special relationship with Disney, where ailing CEO Steve Jobs is a board member.

Move Networks was previously the technology provider for ABC.com’s walled garden of full-length episodes. Now Move’s player will be just one of the ways to access ABC content.

The big question marks

Comcast and other cable companies are seeing their core paid distribution businesses get more and more threatened by Hulu, as it starts to fully become the TV receiver for the Internet age. Will the cable companies head to court, like in the UK, where broadcasters’ joint venture Project Kangaroo was deemed to be anti-competitive? You can be sure the giant is no longer sleeping.

Another take was offered by Forrester analyst James McQuivey to CNET (which is owned by CBS): Hulu could actually provide more than a blueprint for cable companies’ own premium video services; it could manage their online content relationships and distribution for them.

“Comcast can tell NBC and News Corp, we want to put your Hulu system in front of our subscribers,” McQuivey said. “But we want to give our customers more. If Hulu is posting four episodes of a show online we want our subscribers to have 12 episodes. I’m 90 percent certain sure these conversations are already happening.

A Comcast spokesperson told us recently, “Generally, I think that we will continue to have a relationship with Hulu if their venture continues to have exclusive super distribution on broadcasting programming from NBC/FOX and potentially others.”

But the real pressure is on CBS. It’s now the last of the big broadcast networks to hold out on Hulu. The hangup seems to be a case of missed connections at this point, since in terms of strategy CBS is right in line with Hulu. In fact, CBS Interactive President Quincy Smith has publicly praised Hulu while pursuing an even more liberal strategy of widespread premium content syndication. If it can get in on Hulu with the same deal Disney got, it seems pretty silly — and incongruous with its own strategy — for CBS to hold out.

Notably, while these deals are worth a lot in the public eye, they don’t add much to the bottom line — yet. Currently the only things with significant dollar tags are pre-existing revenue streams and the promise of what Hulu could be.

  1. [...] Point: When Disney Met Hulu…Winners and Losers on April 30th, 2009 at 4:52 pm – Permalink [...]

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  2. Watch Hulu on your TV. PCTVCables.com

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  3. [...] went up around the blog-o-sphere wondering what it all means. Sure it means something (check out Liz’s list of winners and losers in this deal), but it changes nothing. Well, it changes one thing — Hulu now has three media companies to [...]

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  4. [...] went up around the blog-o-sphere wondering what it all means. Sure it means something (check out Liz’s list of winners and losers in this deal), but it changes nothing. Well, it changes one thing — Hulu now has three media companies to [...]

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  5. [...] discussion about the Hulu-Disney deal over at NewTeeVee. Liz Gannes and  Chris Albrecht do a fabulous job of teasing apart the interesting [...]

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  6. [...] “Lost” and “Grey’s Anatomy.” As with any deal of this size, there are winners and losers. Hulu is obviously a winner, as it now gains a new, two-year lease on life and can boast content [...]

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  7. [...] Hulu competitor TV.com and also distributes its content through a number of other sites, is now facing tough pressure to join the other three of the Big Four on [...]

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  8. Irrelevant my ass.

    The sheer numbers of incredibly talented and creative artists in the entertainment industry, across every discipline, who seek to find an audience for their creative work, via Network distribution, will never, ever, squeeze through the dime-sized pipeline into traditional Hollywood. This massive group of talent knows this, and they remain undaunted in the pursuit of their craft. Why? Because they can. And they should. And they are. In fact, they’ve blasted the pipeline wide open. The days of waiting for the call-back are over. Time is money. And everybody wants to work. The top tools of the trade are now easily affordable. The democracy and efficiency of the Internet makes it all possible. Hello! The Internet is THE distribution channel. And remember, there is no monopoly on creativity, and no shortage of Talent. Above all else, this enormous talent pool is working together to create programming, outside the traditional Network model, for distribution to entertainment consumers hungry to discover something other than the same-old. And remember, traditional Hollywood can’t absorb all this talent. It just can’t. It’s not their model. It’s not their thing! Hulu is traditional Hollywood now, and all that comes with it. I think that’s cool. I wish them well. But there’s a massive new movement underway. It’s Web TV. Not TV. We’ve had that! Really, what’s all the excitement about? Everybody knew that traditional TV was going to have to make the move to the Internet. So, as I see it, on the transaction side, the real story is the “partnership.” A partnership! And on the strategic side, the real story is Web TV, not TV on the Web.

    David S. Samuels
    CEO, KoldCast TV

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    1. @David – Awesome! You should be a motivational speaker.

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  9. Hulu Still doesn’t work outside of the US, but it looks like KoldCast TV does. This make Koldcast more valuable to me since I don’t live in the US.

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  10. [...] of Disney as an owner and content provider certainly helped Hulu grow its content library. And, as Liz wrote, this move gave Hulu a new lease on life by extending its exclusive hold on content from NBC, FOX [...]

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