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Summary:

Hundreds of thousands of people, it seems, are eagerly awaiting to buy the Palm Pre, according to data collected by Internet traffic research firm Compete. After a big spike at the time of the launch at CES when 400,000 people checked out the Pre-related information pages […]

att5c525Hundreds of thousands of people, it seems, are eagerly awaiting to buy the Palm Pre, according to data collected by Internet traffic research firm Compete. After a big spike at the time of the launch at CES when 400,000 people checked out the Pre-related information pages on Sprint and Palm’s site, around 100,000 folks are visiting those pages. In comparison, the iPhone saw about 600,000 shoppers after the Macworld announcement. I am not so optimistic about Palm’s long-terms chances, however, as outlined in this post.

  1. I was one of them.. but got tired of waiting and got the iphone instead

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    1. I am sorry you missed out. You got a toy when you could have gotten a real productivity tool.

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  2. Hi Om,

    Let me attempt to reconcile the advance “interest” for Palm Pre with the (un)likelihood of them securing meaningful market share when they launch.

    While there are segments of the market that only care about price, and segments that specifically care about a core piece of functionality, such as a real keyboard, I firmly believe that the mobile computing wars, just like the PC wars before them, are going to come down to who builds the broadest, deepest ecosystem of developers.

    Why? Customers don’t buy features. They buy outcomes, and app breadth and depth enables a myriad of compelling outcomes, which Apple has provided a clear AHA moment around. They set the bar, and keep moving it higher.

    Apple has never been about having the deepest spec list. They have been about user experience, integration and leverage, and the 3.0 developer event earlier this week is just another sign that even while leading BIG TIME in terms of units (30M iPhones + iPod touches), apps (25K apps), engagement (800M downloads) and dollars (App Store is growing into a $1B biz only 9 mos after launch), they are putting pedal to the metal to secure hearts and minds of developers.

    Unless and until Palm (or someone else) can negotiate that freight train or fundamentally, solve a different problem than Apple with iPhone/iPod touch, I just don’t see the game changing materially.

    Btw, if interested, here is my analysis on Apple’s iPhone 3.0 preview event:

    Analysis of iPhone 3.0 SDK Developer Preview
    http://bit.ly/ANdMz

    Check it out if interested.

    Mark

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    1. Palm is far, far in the lead when it comes to developers. Apple can only hope to someday reach the development community size of Palm. The Pre is a better product from day 1 even with the long needed advancements of iPhone 3.0.

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  3. 30,000,000 people don’t miss a mechanical keyboard.

    Spotting a Pre in the wild will be finding someone using a Zune.

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  4. Usinga Bigradar Friday, March 20, 2009

    Uh…the interest in Palm and Sprint was (much) GREATER before the January 9th intro of the Pre?

    Doesn’t that sort of destroy the entire theory behind this article?

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  5. Om,
    Pre has dedicated websites where folks discuss the features. This phone is on par with iPhone on features plus adds some few more features.
    I hope you get your hands on one and I hope you might want to write the goodness of WebOS.

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  6. I will agree with Mark. As developers, one has to look at where a solution fits. We are developing a visual marketing platform. The business case tends heavily in favor of the iPhone/iPod family. The numbers suggest that our customers are using such devices. If we move to another platform, will it be Android, Palm, Symbian, or Windows? Very likely it would be Android, though I refrain from making such a decision until Android matures, Palm arrives, and the other two provide me with reasons to develop for their respective platforms.

    Apple is a pain. We are waiting over four weeks now for apps. They have three people servicing the labels in iTunes! F-ing three! But, the tools, customers, and sales channel is pretty solid. In order, we need customers, the other platforms have not demonstrated any sales ability. We need tools. Develop for BlackBerry? Thanks anyway. And, the platform has to grow. That leaves out MS and Palm until otherwise stated. Name an app that sells on the iPhone that was created in WebKit that has generated buzz. Facebook is a platform…

    Everybody is interested until they pull out the checkbook. Thereafter they are customers. When Palm demonstrates sales, growth, and interest, we will be ready. Until then…

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  7. [...] [Source] Categories: Palm , Phones | Tags: chart, Palm, palm pre, palmpre, pre-release, stat |   [...]

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  8. The problem is that there are too many Palm devices out there. It’s not easy to develop apps to so many different specs. Apple Iphone is only one device, a lot easier to develop.
    Bye,
    Alex Nautilus
    http://twitter.com/alexnautilus

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    1. Alex, I think your point becomes moot with the Pre and other Palm devices after it. There won’t be any new Palm devices running the old Palm OS. They’re all moving to Palm’s webOS, which is built on base web standards. And as of now (that we know of), Palm’s Pre is only one device. ;)

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  9. This probably shows how much further these devices can go in consumers imagination. (Not to mention a distinct dislike of AT&T.) Competition is good. Hopefully the Pre lives up to it’s hype and that drives Apple and RIM to another level as well. Unfortunately I also agree with your concern about Palm’s long term chances.

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