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How can we achieve video nirvana? The answer, according to Reed Hastings, CEO of Netflix, is to simply put the web on the TV, and the tipping points will come from the proliferation of broadband, high-def screens, and “the pointer” interface for a remote for the […]

How can we achieve video nirvana? The answer, according to Reed Hastings, CEO of Netflix, is to simply put the web on the TV, and the tipping points will come from the proliferation of broadband, high-def screens, and “the pointer” interface for a remote for the TV. He’s well aware that the online video industry has been saying this for a decade, but just wait ’til January’s Consumer Electronics Show, he says, where he predicts we’ll see some promising web-on-TV products.

Here’s some notes from his speech:

We want to watch what we want, when we want, where we want, and discover the content how we want. The debate has been between the TV and the web in the race to deliver the on-demand personalized video future. Standard TV is getting better — now they have over-the-air, cable, satellite, telco, and program guide. We have the DVR and VOD, which are “bolted-on” experiences and in most cases are discrete subsystems. TV’s problem has been: How do you create integrated and personalized experience before the web catches up? TV has the advantage of having a huge installed based, but on the other hand it doesn’t have crazy, innovative, inventive, web culture.

On the web side, the first breakthrough was flash video. Then there was no need to install another codec. The next breakthrough was YouTube, and YouTube showed that streaming — even at low quality — was preferable and popular for online video content. We wanted a TV-like experience where you can click and play. The ad-supported web video model is the largest part of that market. But there is some high-value content and both subscription and pay-per view models.

So how well are we doing in the areas of “where,” “when,” “what” and “discoverability”? We’re about 15 percent of the way to “what you want,” 100 percent at “when you want,” 15 percent towards “where you want,” and 25 percent for “discover your want.”

To get even farther we need a standard for connecting thousands of video web sites and many devices. The problem with creating a new standard is it takes time — anywhere from 1-3 decades. The simpler solution is that the standard is the web itself. We need web browsers — Explorer, Firefox, Safari, etc. — to play web on televisions. People tried it 10 years ago without success but that was in the age of low-speed dial-up. Today for the web-on-TV experience to begin we need broadband, high-def screens, and a pointer remote. The video game generation is quite comfortable with using a pointer on the TV.

Starting at CES next year I see breakthroughs for the web on television. The logical start is video game consoles — the Wii is so close, but we need high-def and to support modern codecs. Also built into televisions we’ll have Internet tuners. The issue with that is that device makers don’t want to bet too big on too-advanced tech, because then they could bet wrong on big devices. Web video will continue to grow, nurtured by PC and laptop-based ecosystem, then will expand to web browsers on the TV screen.

  1. The Claim that the Wii doesnt Support modern codecs is just wrong .

    The Wii Supports H.264 out of the Box and the has the Nintendo Channel available for Free in the Wii Shop as a Download Channel that has video interviews and DS Downloads .This Channel is available in the US .

    In Japan they Everybody’s theater is due to launch December 2008 on WiiWare for 500 Wii Points ($5) . Everybody’s Theater will be a Video on Demand channel from childrens programing and adult anime .

    http://wii.kombo.com/article.php?artid=13202

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  2. Reed’s speech was probably the most interesting. Unfortunately I missed most of it due to poor streaming.

    I predict that in 10 years most devices will connect to the Internet wirelessly via WiMax. Your handheld device, television, pc, etc. So eventually there won’t be a need for coax, copper or fiber. Nor game consoles, set-top-boxes, or Apple TVs. So what may prove popular in the next few years will eventually become obsolete.

    As Internet content moves to the television, we do need to establish a standard for remote control devices. Not just for the remote itself, but for how the remote control interacts with websites. You can get a remote control for Zipityzap, for example, but it has limited use on a website like Hulu which is designed for point and click.

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  3. I agree that Game Consoles and any other Set top boxes are a stepping stone .I see gaming companies working with TV manufactures and a game console will either become embedded in a TV or become a download service ,

    Nintendo might have the upper hand here because of the the Wii remote but I’m sure other controllers will come and offer different UI’s .Who knows in 10 years we will be talking about Holograms in a our Lounge rooms instead of a novelty on CNN or at a big splashy conference with Al Gore or Bill Gates .

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  4. I totally agree the hardware manufacturers are slipping they need to take advantage of change and create a google type format where they open there hardware to opensource so developers can port their ideas.

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  5. [...] need ultimately for browsers to become TV-capable. From NewTeeVee editor Katie Fehrenbacher’s notes of his keynote: We need web browsers — Explorer, Firefox, Safari, etc. — to play web on televisions. People [...]

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  6. [...] Fehrenbacherがまとめた講演メモより。 [...]

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  7. [...] The living room is on the horizon. And Netflix stands ready to capitalize on it. CEO Reed Hastings won us over by being engaged, enthusiastic and realistic about Netflix’s role in our home entertainment [...]

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  8. [...] the need ultimately for browsers to become TV-capable. From NewTeeVee editor Katie Fehrenbacher’s notes of his talk: We need web browsers — Explorer, Firefox, Safari, etc. — to play web on televisions. People [...]

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  9. [...] Hastings, CEO de Netflix, a mis l’accent sur la nécessité pour le secteur d’accélérer la convergence entre Broadband et broadcast, notamment v…. Un tel mouvement servirait notamment Netflix, en rendant son offre Watch Instantly encore plus [...]

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  10. [...] NewTeeVee Live last November, Netflix CEO Reed Hastings waxed on about the coming wave of gesture remotes that will control our entertainment. The concept [...]

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