Here come the bleeding red IPOs

Om Malik, Friday, March 23, 2007 at 9:00 AM PT Comments (6)

Glu Mobile, Aruba Networks and now Limelight Networks - we are seeing an increasing number of companies that are still deep in red tapping (or trying to tap) the public markets.

It is a dangerous trend, because it could very quickly shut the window of opportunity, here by killing the golden goose. The market is at a fragile state: the after market performance of some of the IPOS - Mellanox, Clearwire and even BigBand - is not inspiring.

Our previous coverage of Limelight Networks and IPOs

Rating: 64% Thumbs Up Thumbs Down

2 trackbacks so far

March 26th, 2007
12:57 PM PT

[...] IPO’s?? If you enjoyed this post, get free updates by RSS! Read more about: [...]

May 2nd, 2007
3:08 AM PT

[...] the prospects of some of these companies. Clearwire, which faces significant hurdles, has certainly not been a star performer on the market. Last week, Ocean Power Technologies, a company that turns ocean waves into [...]

4 comments so far

March 23rd, 2007
10:11 AM PT
mark said:

isilon has been getting hammered too

March 23rd, 2007
11:02 AM PT

Om, a read of the S1 indicates that LLNW, while losing money by GAAP standards, is not exactly hemorrhaging. They are operating cash flow and EBITDA positive, and the only thing keeping them from FCF positive is their heavy capital spend. LLNW’s revenue’s are ramping very nicely, and their aggressive peering strategy means they can unload a reasonable amount of their traffic without settlement. LLNW will be GAAP profitable again fairly soon. FCF may take a bit longer.

March 23rd, 2007
11:29 AM PT
pwb said:

ARUN only spent $850k in the 6 months ending 3/31/07. I suspect we will be content with its April quarter earnings release.

March 24th, 2007
10:57 AM PT
Bruce said:

Re: Daniel Golding

It is one thing to say that LLNW’s growth will get them to the point that they can become profitable, but that doesn’t change Om’s point that they are not — and that they are dependent on additional investments (not just the IPO, but probably more beyond that) to keep running.

Being EBITDA or operating cash flow positive is a good step (and no company that isn’t should be considered a serious IPO candidate), but it the same as actually being profitable, either on a GAAP basis or a FCF basis.

More important, I’m not sure what it means to say, “the only thing keeping them from FCF positive is their heavy capital spend.” They run a network. They’re entire business is dependent on that heavy capital spend. If that spending rate declines and they generate sufficient operating profitability to fund the capital spend (and debt), they might one day generate a return for shareholders.

The key point for now is that these companies (as many did in the late 90s) are going public long before that point is reached, and with no guarantees it will ever be reached.

Leave a Comment

Get the comments RSS feed, instant notification of new comments

Most Comments

Sequoia Rings the Alarm Bell: Silicon Valley Is in Trouble
Om Malik, October 8, 147 comments
We Have Completed $4.5 Million in New Funding
Om Malik, October 6, 96 comments
Inside Details of Sequoia Capital’s Doomsday Meeting With its Companies
Om Malik, October 9, 46 comments
Wholesale Internet Bandwidth Prices Keep Falling
Om Malik, October 7, 20 comments
Obama Campaigning on Xbox 360?
Wagner James Au, October 10, 7 comments

Highest Rated

Inside Details of Sequoia Capital’s Doomsday Meeting With its Companies
Om Malik, October 9, 76%
Why Digg Should Buy StumbleUpon
Om Malik, October 7, 200%
Venture Firms Pull Back, But Not for Long
Stacey Higginbotham, October 9, 75%
Lijit Launches Publisher Ad Network
Om Malik, October 7, 58%
Broadband Bill Needs Signature and Funding
Stacey Higginbotham, October 7, 67%
Close
E-mail It