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Summary:

The death of Moore’s Law, a tech industry maxim that has made millionaires out of geeks, has been greatly exaggerated. For a long time Moore’s Law has been associated with the personal computers and the chips that go inside them, and with the changes in the […]

business2_logo.gifThe death of Moore’s Law, a tech industry maxim that has made millionaires out of geeks, has been greatly exaggerated.

For a long time Moore’s Law has been associated with the personal computers and the chips that go inside them, and with the changes in the PC landscape many have started to wonder if Moore’s Law had come to the end of the line. Infact, Moore’ Law, as original noted by Gordon Moore in 1965 – the number of transistors on a chip doubles every 24 months – is more relevant now than ever before.

Drew Lanza, general partner with Morgenthaler Ventures, who points out that while the PC itself might be disappearing, mobile devices such as the iPhone are the new beneficiaries of Moore’s Law. Moore’s original research paper didn’t say anything about processor clock speed. It said you could, with every generation of chips, cram more transistors into the same space.

n95nokia.jpg

A new generation of phones, say the new Nokia N95 combine video camera, MP3 players, VoIP calling and along with support for all sort of networks. Those are the features that are available in say a low end Macbook, sans the big screen, CD drive and a keyboard.

And that’s the point, Lanza says: “The future is putting all of those features onto just a handful of inexpensive chips, and adding more and more functionality. That is where Moore’s Law has moved.”

In the near future Mr. Moore’s wisdom will be called upon to build ever smaller, more powerful super combo chips that do even more – like add mobile WiMAX support, TV receivers, UWB features and what not.

Read my full column over on the Business 2.0 website.

By Om Malik

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  1. Thanks for clearing that out. I was certain that Moore’s law referred to clock speed…

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  2. I believe that comment should be directed to Drew Lanza…not Om

    you’re welcome!

    –D

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  3. You are versioning law? I guess nothing static in this world. everything is versioned one day. for end user, the computer speed basically not mainly based on processor power, it also includes capacity/access speed of RAM/HardDisk/network. Hence only OS vendors mainly depend on Moore’s law. Even though the law defines transistor count, still we are roughly measuring the processor power. Grid infrastructure with mobile devices could break the law!

    Kind rgrds
    saran

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  4. Versioning – simpler way to explain and a better headline – come on you got to give me that ;-)

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  5. Fancy title, otherwise I didn’t read full content except the first 2 lines in the feed.
    Kind rgrds
    Saran

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  6. Moore’s law stated a DOUBLING of computing power every 18 months. That’s a geometric progression. We now cannot half the size of transistors any more, and still get the heat out. So now Intel is doing tricks like combining multiple processors on one chip substrate. So the transistor counts will be proportional to the area of the chip. And the compute power will only be increasing linearly in time.

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  7. Moore’s Law is currently applicabble in today’s techlogy. The more transistors there is in the chip, the better it functions. We clearly see that now in the products different computer companies offer in the mearket. Computer integration in lives have been remarkebly fascinating. Thanks for Mr. G. Moore’s observation.

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  8. The title certainly got people’s attention!

    I’m looking forward to the way things are going. I love when different technologies are combined together to make wonderful devices. The only thing I’m not fancy about is when devices are created and given restrictions on who you can use it with (ie certain cell phones for certain carriers).

    If I spent hundreds or thousands of dollars on an all in one device, I don’t want to be bound to a particular cell phone company.

    I also love company’s who open source their devices or at a least allow it’s users to develope extensions/software for the devices.

    Take care,
    Paul

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  9. [...] months, made its mark as a tech industry maxim that could turn geeks into millionaires. Then came the next version, with cell phones and mobile devices. Now, with a national renewable portfolio standard in the works, chip and solar [...]

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  10. [...] Gilbert, Juergen Urbanski | Wednesday, June 24, 2009 | 12:00 AM PT | 0 comments Moore’s Law has enabled new applications by powering computing on an exponential price/performance curve. But [...]

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  11. [...] Moore’s Law has enabled new applications by powering computing on an exponential price/performance curve. But increasingly, the proliferation of a new generation of large-scale applications is being constrained by another price/performance curve that hasn’t shown much improvement: IT operations and the cost of delivery. To create ever more sophisticated applications that can be delivered from public or private clouds, we have to ride a delivery cost curve that looks more like Moore’s Law. Otherwise, we’ll choke on our systems. [...]

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  12. [...] Moore’s Law has enabled new applications by powering computing on an exponential price/performance curve. But increasingly, the proliferation of a new generation of large-scale applications is being constrained by another price/performance curve that hasn’t shown much improvement: IT operations and the cost of delivery. To create ever more sophisticated applications that can be delivered from public or private clouds, we have to ride a delivery cost curve that looks more like Moore’s Law. Otherwise, we’ll choke on our systems. [...]

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  13. [...] technology for laptops and gadgets. Auto and battery makers lack the tech industry maxim that, (as Om put it back in 2007) has made millionaires out of geeks: Moore’s Law, which says the number of transistors on a [...]

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