http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20070129010604AAm7qnC

http://www.awadallah.com/blog/2006/05/08/how-to-block-meebo/

Switch on to Kool IM. The great thing about this Kool IM is that it works with 6 IM clients and of course I no longer need to have any of those IM clients like MSN, Yahoo, ICQ, Google Talk, AOL, Jabber installed in my machine or while on the road to still be in touch, real-time, with those who would need to reach me for whatever the reason. This is just a terrific idea as it will help people consolidate their efforts and clients into a single approach, that is, a single web site where you can connect to any of them and no further hassle. Pretty amazing, eh?

Well, it gets better. If you have got a user id or a screen name for the various IM protocols you can actually log into all of them at the same time and they will be integrated into a single contact list all of them separated accordingly.

One of the sites that I read on a regular basis, Business Logs, has just posted a list of predictions for 2006. Here’s my commentary on what I think of the predictions and what I believe will be happening in 2006.

Apple comes out with widescre…

However, here are my questions and doubts for each of these:

> “If you are building a Web startup with the intention of flipping it
> to one of the majors, only three things matter;
> – technology/IP,
> – users
> – the quality of your technical team,”

1 what IP do they have? can someone just own an IP on something so simple? a
webbased IM is so easy to make…
2 users? how many real users do they have? people are addicted to MSN,
AIM, etc.
If meebo dies one day to another, how many people will actually look for a replacement of that one instead of going back to MSN?

3 technical team? 2 people? does that convince everyone…? It’s fine with me, I’ve seen many coders, but I am not sure that can convince easily
against the power of big groups.

> “If the company has market leadership in a new product space or market segment than the valuation goes up significantly,”

4. market leadership? talk to me more about it. What type of leadership do they have? They’re not replacing the IM, they don’t have the technology of the IM, they can be stopped anytime by a server that wouldn’t allow them to connect,
then can be sued anytime by people who don’t understand they’re sending their
password to meebo server… (it’s not written is it?)

5.how much of the market do they “own” really?

> “Meebo has essentially created a persistent connection/relationship
> with their users.”

6. who said that?

> “why go with a zero-revenue model that’s going to be sold for $50 million tops when you could pick a business model with the potential to generate some really, really serious cash?”

sure, it could generate cash. If it does, MSN, AIM, etc, have no difficuly in matching this offer, or to prevent meebo from making any money. Remember that meebo revenues depend on the good will of MSN AIM, etc who still haven’t
prevented meebo from connecting onto their server.

7. What is their plan B if MSN/AIM block all connections?

Thus, my bet that meebo cannot succeed!

They might be bought or whatever. However they will not exist for long. I bet until 2007 they disappear. Tell me your bet: http://www.jeikei.com

Why should one start a business when it does not have any sustainable competitive advantage? Look at meebo from a strategic point… I don’t see anything great or particularly profitable.

The technology talent itself is not worth more than a few hundred thousand dollars.

I am interested in people who have ideas, but want to learn more how to execute them and talents who are looking for ideas. Drop me a line if you are one of them.