Holy Smokes, Vonage goes for an IPO

Om Malik, Wednesday, August 24, 2005 at 10:36 PM PT Comments (18)

Multiple sources including The Daily Deal and The Wall Street Journal are reporting that Vonage is about to file for an initial public offering and is hoping to raise between $400 and $600 million. The Daily Deal has the scoop.

According to sources, it’s possible that Vonage might pursue a dual-track process, allowing it to explore a potential merger as well as an IPO. If Vonage goes the IPO route, it would likely use the money the same way it used the proceeds from its previous rounds of funding: to expand its network in the U.S., Canada and overseas.

Dual track process? Now that’s interesting! I get a feeling, that it might be a one-track process - IPO because of the greater fool theory - because not many buyers out there who can pay enough money to give investors (read VCs) a decent return on investment.

Lots of questions in my mind, which will hopefully clear up soon. Just doing the numbers - Vonage has raised $400 million, and with $600 million in IPO proceeds, that’s a whopping $1 billion. Not bad for a company that has shade less than a million customers. So investors in the company are tentatively valuing each Vonage customer at about $1000 - or about 40 months of revenues.

I find the timing of this news pretty interesting! There is clearly lots of competition, including cable companies which are just cranking their sales machine and pushing VoIP like crazy. Skype, Yahoo, Microsoft and Google’s Voice-over-IM offerings are going to put some if not a lot of deflationary pressure on the prices. Price pressure is going to be rampant. Good time, to re-read my Telecom Death Spiral essay. And that’s not even taking into account some of the problems incumbents can create for all indy-VoIP people (without risking the ire of FCC, of course!)

In other words, for Vonage, if not now, then never is the only option. The deal is going to be led by Deutsche Bank Securities, Citigroup Global Securities and UBS. Interesting to note - both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are missing from the party. Why? Morgan is the banker for Skype, while Goldman is a banker for Google. Never mind that the Bells are not going to take this too kindly, and future banking relationships could be strained.

PS: Personally, their S-1 filing is going to be great reading.

18 comments so far

August 24th, 2005
10:44 PM PT
jeeves said:

Wow…cannot wait for the S-1 filing as well.

August 25th, 2005
1:56 AM PT

[...] file for an initial public offering and is hoping to raise between $400 and $600 million. Om Malik Leave a reply Name ( [...]

August 25th, 2005
5:14 AM PT
Mark Evans said:

A Vonage IPO on the Way?

According to The Deal.com, the long wait for Vonage’s IPO is about to end. Within the next six weeks, Vonage will apparently file with the SEC for an IPO to raise $400-million to $600-million. The company, which has more than 800,000 customers, could …

August 25th, 2005
8:21 AM PT
SiliconBeat said:

A thriller endgame for Vonage

Vonage, the Internet telephone company, is about to file for an initial public offering and is hoping to raise between $400 and $600 million, according to The Deal. Talk about a thriller endgame. This is not a Silicon Valley company, but a host of vall…

August 25th, 2005
10:03 AM PT
Jesse Kopelman said:

Actually, I think the Bells love this news. It is very hard to run a telecom as a growth stock, as investors have little patience when it comes time to spend money on upgrading the network and ARPU declines and user growth stalls. There is a reason there are no public national wireless cos in the US (now that Nextel is no more).

August 25th, 2005
11:49 AM PT
Charlie Sierra said:

Ah, Jesse, Sextel (S) is a public national wireless company.

The near term lesson of the VoIP flameout is that you need a powerful value proposition.

Simply being a little cheaper than the hated Bells is not big enough. Nobody has put forward a really insightful business model.

I do think the marketplace is growing more receptive, but the players are still not convinced the stars are in alignment.

Om, why aren’t the good folks over at T-Mobile USA pushing a VoIP component with their wireless plans? Its a cheap ARPU boost, think of all those broadband rich college kids. I mean how are going to call the beer store to reserve that kegger for the weekend…

Voice still generates more $$$ than data.

August 25th, 2005
12:13 PM PT
Jesse Kopelman said:

Charlie, you caught me. I wasn’t thinking of Sprint as a pure wireless play. As for your T-Mobile comment, I’ve been saying the same for a while. I think the problem with the big players (Bells, Pure Wireless, Cable Cos) is that they see VoIP more as a threat than an oportunity. To them, business as usual is priority #1 — higher than thinking about the future.

August 25th, 2005
12:55 PM PT
Charlie Sierra said:

Certainly I agree that the Bells view VoIP as PITA, but the reason PCS hasn’t bundled VoIP is because they’ve yet to spinout their own local ops, and frankly they want to lock in the MSOs before doing their own thing.

I mean look at what they’re doing to poor ole ESPN Mobile. NASCAR, NFL, hello MLB??? I think the MVNO fad will be coming to an end pretty quickly, I mean its already served its purpose.

Dealing with the phone companies is dealing with the devil.

August 25th, 2005
1:25 PM PT

Woo Hoo! Vonage IPO to raise $600 million

ZDNet has details on the $600 million Vonage IPO — the surest sign yet that the area of voice-over-Internet communication is hot. Make that sizzling hot, considering that Google is jumping into the market. The Edison, NJ-based company did…

August 25th, 2005
10:54 PM PT

[...] s raised $260 million in debt in order to expand company’s fixed wireless network. (Take that Vonage!) As a background, McCaw was the founder of McCaw Cellular, one [...]

August 26th, 2005
8:37 AM PT

[...] aditional fixed-line carriers. With such success, rumors have circulated that Skype may be going public, an indication of VoIPs popularity. However, the mobility of VoIP [...]

August 26th, 2005
10:18 AM PT

[...] aditional fixed-line carriers. With such success, rumors have circulated that Skype may be going public, an indication of VoIP’s popularity. However, the mobility o [...]

August 26th, 2005
7:16 PM PT
john said:

Investors value Vonage customers a lot higher than 1000 USD.
External investors may have put into Vonage around 1000 USD of cash per customer, but same investors do not own 100 % of the company. An IPO at 1,5 bill $ (pre-money) value each Vonage customer at 2OOO $.

August 31st, 2005
11:27 AM PT
Voip Arena said:

Vonage Plans IPO

September 6th, 2005
10:14 PM PT

[...] It still doesn’t ensure a great IPO, or a great exit via sale to some greater fool. And it also doesn’t mean that cable companies are not going to eat their lunch and dinner. Or that upstarts like soon to be born YAVS (yet another voip service for acronym-challenged) IGOnet or Adcalls (oh boy this reminds me of 1999) are going to go away. But lets be nice, and applaud Jeffrey and his team for being the first million VoIP customer company. Like @Home, they made this market happen - and that in my books is pretty darn good. (I am sticking to this line, unless Skype issues a clean, and easy to understand press release!) Oh, so all of you who want to take a swing at me for being nice, well this is your last chance In VoIP (the New Phone) Posted Tuesday, September 6, 2005 at 10:12 PM PT [...]

January 24th, 2006
9:55 AM PT
Newbie said:

As a new Vonage Customer, I can’t tell you the relief I felt once I switched away from the big Bell. I would have switched to save $10/month, but I’m actually saving closer to $50!

It was quite a roll-reversal to have an actual PERSON from the Bell CALL ME and BEG for my business back. I think not.

Of course, they also threatened to increase the rate on my broadband service, whereby I got the privilege to remind THEM that I had a 2-yr broadband contract and it wasn’t open to negotiation for quite some time.

Good-bye and Good-Riddance

God Bless the Free Market Economy…now if we could just convince the Government to stop bailing out the airlines…

May 8th, 2006
11:26 AM PT
Moonpoint said:

As an existing vonage customer, I got an offer for IPO shares
this morning. But my surprise didn’t last long, as I read the fine
print further that I have to a US citizen. Clearly they didn’t ask the
citizenship question when I took the service in early 2004.

Accrording to some previous posts, each customer is valued at
$2000.

Well, you can discount that valuation by $2000, I am voting with my wallet, I am discontinuing my service. There are plenty of
alternatives now…

May 11th, 2006
9:32 PM PT
poison said:

Man I am somewhat confused. I got my IPO conditional offer letter in the mail yesterday. They are offering their existing customers (of over a year, and with other certain requirements as previously mentioned in this thread) an “opportunity to invest” in Vonage. The $ isn’t what really bothers me, what bothers me is that they are now turning to their customers for investment…is this a sucker bet? is this a good bet? the fact remains it seems to be too much of a bet.
Should I go in for a couple of grand, and see if it goes anywhere, and then spend my days watching it like a hawk…or just walk away from the pig in lipstick?

Leave a Comment

Get the comments RSS feed, instant notification of new comments

Most Comments

HP-EDS: It’s About The Clouds, Baby!
Om Malik, May 13, 28 comments
Prying Open the Social Graph
Stacey Higginbotham, May 12, 23 comments
Xobni: Our Path from ‘Wrong Product’ to Killer App
Gabor Cselle, May 11, 21 comments
Off Topic: Now This Is Good Stuff
Om Malik, May 11, 21 comments
Why Buying CNet Makes Sense for CBS
Om Malik, May 15, 19 comments

Highest Rated

HP-EDS: It’s About The Clouds, Baby!
Om Malik, May 13, 103%
Off Topic: Now This Is Good Stuff
Om Malik, May 11, 67%
Prying Open the Social Graph
Stacey Higginbotham, May 12, 64%
Plazes Builds an iPhone Plazer
Om Malik, May 13, 68%
Metrics: Fun Facts About iPhone
Om Malik, May 12, 69%
Close
E-mail It